Well, well, well. 

The Democrats are trying to sell the narrative that there is a vast number of voters who regret voting for Trump, and indeed there is a poll here or there that supports that Narrative™. Pick your poison. All the way from Trump +9 to Trump -8. 

The problem is that many of these same polls led you to believe that Kamala Harris was going to win. In one of those "now it can be told" revelations after the election, it was even revealed that Kamala Harris' own internal polls never--not once--showed her pulling ahead. 

Brat summer was a bust, but you wouldn't have known that from the polling. 

While I don't obsess over polls, I do pay attention to them as gross indicators of the national mood--taken with a grain of salt, of course. 

https://t.co/01HH2cCy1P

— Quantus Insights (@QuantusInsights) February 27, 2025

Quantus Insights is a very young company, so its track record amounts to the 2024 election. While that isn't much data to base a long-term opinion on the quality of their polls, I have to say they nearly NAILED IT in 2024. Better than anybody else, which should give you some confidence that they aren't too shabby when it comes to doing their job. 

They did miss on one state, but just a smidge, but they never showed Trump as anything but likely to win, which is consistent with the polling from both the Trump and Harris teams, which had access to much better polling than the public polling.

Accuracy in the Rust Belt and Beyond

The  Rust Belt states were once again the centerpiece of the 2024 electoral  battlefield. These states are notoriously difficult to poll due to  demographic diversity, turnout variability, and their swing-state  status. Despite these challenges, Quantus Insights achieved remarkable  accuracy:

• Michigan: Projected a Trump victory with a 1.2% error for Trump and 0.9% for Harris, for a total error of 2.1%.
• Pennsylvania: Nearly flawless projections with a 0.1% error for Trump and 0.5% for Harris, totaling just 0.6% error.
• Wisconsin: Delivered a combined error rate of 0.6%, reinforcing its reputation for precision in this pivotal state.

Nationally, Quantus Insights forecasted Trump with 49.1% of the vote and Harris with 48.3%, missing the final popular vote outcome by just 0.7 percentage points—a level of precision rarely achieved in modern polling.

Consistent Accuracy in Swing States

Beyond the Rust Belt, Quantus Insights continued to demonstrate unparalleled performance in other critical battlegrounds:

• Nevada: With a 1.9-point error,  accurately captured the subtle shifts toward the GOP in a state that  has been difficult for pollsters to predict in recent cycles.
• North Carolina: Quantus projected results within 1.6 points, reflecting the state’s evolving electorate while confirming its status as a Republican stronghold.

These  successes are not just outliers—they reflect a commitment to  methodological rigor, real-time analysis, and a deep understanding of  voter behavior.

In short, it makes sense to trust Quantus Insights, and their latest poll shows Trump in very good shape.

https://t.co/01HH2cCy1P

— Quantus Insights (@QuantusInsights) February 27, 2025

NEW: QUANTUS INSIGHTS NATIONAL APPROVAL SURVEY––FEB 27

Trump approval

 Approve: 51%

 Disapprove: 45%

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Trump economic approval

 Approve: 49%

 Disapprove: 45%

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Trump immigration/border approval 

 Approve: 58%

 Disapprove: 40%

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Direction of country compared to Biden-Harris

 Right track: 50%

 Wrong direction: 47%

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2024 Rematch: Trump vs. Harris

Trump: 52%

 Harris: 46%

 Not sure: 2%

1000 RV | 3.5 MoE | Feb 24-26

Those are great numbers for Trump, although it is a good reminder that Trump's ceiling is never going to get much higher than 50% because so many people just hate the guy. 

Presidential Approval: A Narrow Majority in Support

Trump begins his second term with a 51 percent approval rating, compared to 45 percent disapproval, leaving him with a net positive of six points. This level of support is consistent with previous approval rating findings conducted by Quantus Insights and suggests that he retains the backing of his electoral base while continuing to face strong opposition from Democrats and some Independents.

Demographic trends reveal familiar patterns. Republican support for Trump remains overwhelming, with 92 percent approval, while Democratic opposition remains entrenched, with only 12 percent approving of his performance. Independent voters remain divided, with 45 percent approving and 48 percent disapproving, reflecting the continued challenge of winning over this critical voting bloc.

Economic Approval: Divided Opinions on Trump’s Handling of the Economy

Public perception of Trump’s handling of the economy is more closely contested, with 49 percent approving and 45 percent disapproving. While this represents a slight edge in favor of the president, it falls short of the broader economic confidence seen in his previous term at similar points.

Republicans overwhelmingly approve of Trump’s economic leadership, with 88 percent expressing confidence in his policies. Among Democrats, only 10 percent approve, reflecting strong partisan opposition. Independent voters are closely split, with 43 percent approving and 48 percent disapproving, highlighting the degree to which economic conditions remain a point of debate.

Immigration: A Strong Policy Area for Trump

Trump’s approach to immigration has been one of the defining issues of his presidency, and the public response to his policies reflects a more favorable stance compared to other areas of governance. With 58 percent approval and 40 percent disapproval, immigration emerges as the strongest issue for the administration in this survey.

Support for Trump’s immigration policies—including increased deportations and enhanced border security—is particularly strong among Republicans, at 95 percent approval. Independent voters also lean in favor, with 50 percent approving and 46 percent disapproving, a sign that border security remains a winning issue beyond the Republican base. Among Democrats, only 25 percent approve, demonstrating the partisan split on the matter.

National Direction: A Country Still Divided

When asked about the overall trajectory of the country, 50 percent of voters believe the nation is on the right track, while 47 percent say it is headed in the wrong direction. These numbers closely mirror Trump’s overall approval rating, reinforcing the idea that public sentiment about the country’s trajectory is largely driven by partisanship.

Among Republicans, 95 percent believe the country is on the right track, while only 7 percent of Democrats share that view. Independent voters are again nearly evenly split, with 43 percent believing the country is headed in the right direction and 48 percent saying it is on the wrong track.

Trump is never, ever, ever going to win over his haters, whose opinion is solidified against him. He could personally save a thousand children from drowning by wading out into freezing waters and carrying them out on his back one by one and they would complain about how he took too long because he was busy kissing Elon Musk's feet or something. 

But the vibe shift is real. Look at the huge jump in, if not optimism exactly, but confidence that things will turn around. 

Trump is under constant assault, but the people who are susceptible to the propaganda will never move toward Trump in any case. As the rest of the country loses confidence in the Pravda Media, Trump has a real opportunity to build even more momentum and move up a bit more in popularity. And as for Republicans who can influence their Senators and Representatives, they are totally behind Trump, meaning he can get legislative wins.

Ed will have a post later today in the continuing collapse of the Pravda Media. It is ugly for them. 

Good.