Earlier today, I brought up the easily overlooked fact that Joe Biden was declared the winner of the Washington state primary yesterday. After that, I jumped into the usual rundown of today’s primary elections and what the latest polls were predicting. But I neglected to take into account one huge factor. Ohio’s primary may be postponed until at least June, but Arizona, Illinois and Florida are all voting. But how many people are going to show up at the polls if they’re worried that they’ll be in line behind somebody with the coronavirus?
Admittedly, Arizona only has 18 confirmed cases thus far and no deaths. That may not be enough to scare people very much. But Illinois is up to more than 100 and that number is expanding daily. And Florida is rapidly approaching the 200 mark with five deaths already.
How are voters in those states going to react? They’ve been hearing politicians tell them for the past year that this is “the most important election of our lifetimes,” but we’re told that every four years. Will most voters see casting a ballot in the primary as being worth the risk of running headfirst into the pandemic? I suppose the point I’m trying to make here is that if a large number of people stay home – and I’m talking about at least a 30% drop from four years ago – it could significantly distort the outcomes in these races.