Yes, yes, I know, polling … but the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris survey isn’t quite the kind of horse-race polling that went awry in 2020. For that reason, it’s also not quite as predictive, at least theoretically, about what we can expect to see in the two Georgia runoff elections taking place on January 5th. However, it’s good news for Republicans, assuming that they can shake off attempts to undermine their own advantages in the special elections that will determine control of the Senate.
That turns out to be the best argument for the GOP in the next few weeks, according to the poll. A double-digit majority wants split government in Washington DC, indicating significant distrust of Democrats even in a state where Joe Biden edged out Donald Trump in the presidential race. Update — This is a national poll, not a poll exclusively of Georgia voters:
Fifty-six percent of voters said they want a divided government with Republicans in control of the upper chamber, according to data released exclusively to The Hill.
Forty-four percent of voters said they wanted Democrats to control the Senate.
“As of now, the voters want divided government and their votes for the Senate and House indicate that as well,” said Harvard CAPS-Harris polling director Mark Penn. “This is a strong headwind for Democrats in the special election though [President] Trump’s continued failure to concede could muddy the waters here.”