Did the conventions give either candidate in the presidential election a lift? Emerson says yes, and might have even done the all-but-impossible — give Donald Trump a positive favorability rating, at least briefly. Emerson’s findings appear to correlate to trends in other polls, even if those don’t hit the same amplitudes as Emerson finds.
The head-to-head bounce against Joe Biden doesn’t really amount to much. Emerson reports that Trump narrowed a four-point Biden lead to two points, essentially a margin-of-error difference:
Since the Emerson College July national poll, President Donald Trump has tightened the presidential race to a two-point margin, and is now trailing former Vice President Joe Biden 49% to 47%. In July, former V.P. Joe Biden held a four-point lead over President Trump –– 50% to 46%.
Spencer Kimball, Director of Emerson College Polling explains “the Republican convention gave Trump his most positive week of news coverage which likely attributes to his bounce in this month’s poll and increasing job approval.”