The drama! The wheeling and dealing! The backstabbing! No, it’s not an episode of Arrested Development but the Great White Whale of the punditry class — an open or brokered convention. Every four years, we all talk about the possibility of one or both parties going into their conventions without a single candidate holding a majority of the pledged delegates. And every cycle, Lucy yanks the football away at the last minute.
Could this cycle be different? We’d sure like to think so, but this time the Democratic party establishment might like to think so too. It’s beginning to look like the early primaries won’t force anyone out of the race, Politico reports, and that might be the Democrats’ only defense against a Bernie Sanders run:
Joe Biden and Pete Buttigieg, two centrists who are newly mauling each other, will move on to Nevada and South Carolina. So will Bernie Sanders, the frontrunner in New Hampshire, and Elizabeth Warren. Following the Iowa caucuses, Amy Klobuchar sent staffers to New Hampshire and Nevada.
The billionaires aren’t going anywhere, either: Michael Bloomberg will confront all of those candidates on Super Tuesday, and Tom Steyer is polling well enough in South Carolina to disrupt the race there.
“It’s straight out of House of Cards or Veep, just the level of uncertainty [in] contest after contest if we don’t have a verdict,” said Jay Surdukowski, a New Hampshire-based attorney and Democratic activist who co-chaired Martin O’Malley’s 2016 presidential campaign in the state. “It could be a jump ball for months.” …
Even Ray Buckley, chairman of the New Hampshire Democratic Party, suggested a winnowing of candidates here is unlikely. While fielding questions about a possible recount in New Hampshire if the election Tuesday is close, Buckley said at a Bloomberg News event that after the Iowa caucus debacle, more party officials from around the country are preparing to travel to Nevada, South Carolina and other later states to help with their elections and caucuses.