By now, the trend has become clear — not even Democrats are all that enthusiastic about the Clinton Restoration, and certainly not about Hillary. In less than a week (10/4 to 10/9), Hillary lost ten points of support in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll. But who’s benefiting from this deflation? So far, the results are split … literally (via Instapundit):
Just days before she will take the stage in the first Democratic debate, Hillary Clinton’s lead over rival Bernie Sanders has narrowed, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll.
Clinton’s support among Democratic voters fell 10 points within less than a week.
From October 4 to October 9, Clinton saw her support tumble from 51 percent of Democratic support to just 41 percent.
Her nearest competitors, Vermont Senator Sanders and Vice President of the U.S. Joe Biden, who has yet to decide whether he will run, both made gains. Support for Sanders jumped from just over 24 percent to 28 percent, and Biden rose from 16 percent to a even 20 percent in the same time period.
This mirrors the trend over the last six months, as seen at Real Clear Politics even without this poll in the calculation:
This doesn’t yet represent an existential threat for Hillary’s chances at the nomination. The anybody-but-Hillary vote has split between Sanders and Biden, especially over the last couple of months. That leaves Hillary with relatively large leads overall still. Apart from this poll, only two other polls showed Hillary’s lead in single digits in the past month … and ever. Her current RCP average lead has her 16 points above Sanders, and almost 23 point above Biden.
That could change rapidly, and it’s clear that her biggest claim for support — inevitability — is getting challenged strongly now. The larger issue for Democrats is what this says about Hillary’s chances in the general election, not the primaries (at least not yet). If she’s tanking this fast among Democrats, it’s not difficult to imagine what will happen among general-election voters once they start taking a close look at the coronation.