The big reveal is coming soon on FNC, so tune in. Kos’s election analysts lay it on the line:
Top 10 per polls =Trump, Jeb, Walker, Carson, Huck, Cruz, Rubio, Paul, Christie & Kasich. If that's not Fox's debate lineup, the fix is in.
— Daily Kos Elections (@DKElections) August 4, 2015
Yup, that’s what RCP says too. The real suspense is whether Fox will stick with its planned format of 10 participants or surprise everyone by changing it at the last moment. Stand by.
Update: Bret Baier just made the announcement. DKos had it exactly right except that Huckabee landed in the fourth slot and Ben Carson in the fifth. RCP has those two dead even in its poll average. All it means is that they’ll stand in slightly different positions onstage.
The JV debate at 5 p.m. will be Perry, Santorum, Jindal, Fiorina, Graham, Pataki, and Jim “Who?” Gilmore. The last two guys there are, I believe, polling right around flat zero, so they have about as much reason to be onstage as you do.
Update: Here’s the RNC’s statement:
“Our field is the biggest and most diverse of any party in history and I am glad to see that every one of those extremely qualified candidates will have the opportunity to participate on Thursday evening. Republicans across the country will be able to choose which candidate has earned their support after hearing them talk through the issues.
“Democrats will have to take Hillary Clinton’s word that she deserves to be their nominee. While the RNC is moving forward with our sanctioned debate schedule, the DNC has yet to even announce when they will put her onstage.”
Kasich barely eked past Perry in the polling. Imagine holding this debate in Cleveland, Ohio with the sitting governor forced to fight in the undercard. Bullet dodged, Fox!