Exciting new hearsay from Geraghty, yet not the first report today of a poll showing Scotty B with a double-digit lead. I’d love to analyze the significance of it for you assuming it’s true, but … I can’t. I simply can’t wrap my mind around the concept of a Republican building up so much momentum that he’d win Ted Kennedy’s seat in a landslide. It’s like trying to imagine the Jets winning the Super Bowl. The human brain hasn’t evolved enough yet to process such possibilities.
One tells me that the most recent internal poll of the Scott Brown campaign shows the Republican winning by… 11 percentage points. I’m getting the sense that the folks hearing this are almost a little incredulous, but it seems every demographic and key group is breaking to Brown in the past day or two. For weeks, Brown and everyone around him has said they will campaign and work as if they’re 30 percentage points down. But it seems like the campaign has been one Coakley stumble after another, and you figure that would eventually start effecting the numbers. According to that measure, it’s starting to break heavily in Brown’s direction… but we’ll have to see what the final few days bring…
One problem passed on by one of my sources is the sense that Coakley is increasingly seen as a de facto incumbent, what with Democrats controlling the White House, both Houses of Congress, and for that matter, the entire state government in Massachusetts. A frustrated voter fed up with the status quo can’t easily communicate their impatience and anger by giving the nod to the party that is currently running the show.
If he wins by 10, it means … what? Five Senate Blue Dogs flip on ObamaCare? 20 new Democratic retirements? The return of Cthulhu? What?