Newest state where Obama's approval is underwater: Connecticut

He won there in 2008 by 22 points, but no worries, Democrats. He still leads Romney there today — by, er, two points. Look on the bright side: If fully 100 percent of the public said that the economy stinks instead of the 90 percent who say it now, it might be a dead heat.

You know who this poll benefits? Ahem:

Obama’s poor showing in Connecticut is mostly a function of his own unpopularity. Despite having won it by 23 points in 2008 his approval numbers are now under water at 48/49. That represents a 17 point net shift in the wrong direction since PPP last polled the state in March- at that time Obama’s approval was a positive 55/39 spread. The decline has come because he’s unpopular with independents (41/53) and also because an unusually high 20% of Democrats disapprove of the job he’s doing.

Romney’s favorability is 41/42, not great numbers but better than he is doing in most states. In the head to head with Obama he takes independents by 12 points at 48-36 and gets crossover support from 14% of Democrats while losing just 9% of the Republican vote.

The competitiveness in Connecticut is limited to Romney. Against the rest of the Republican field Obama leads by double digits- it’s 12 points against Rick Perry at 53-41, 13 against Ron Paul at 51-38, 16 against Newt Gingrich at 54-38, and 19 against Michele Bachmann at 55-36.

That boldface line is haunting. Suddenly I feel like I’m in a store with the salesman pushing something on me that I don’t want but dropping the price to an almost irresistible degree. “Why, no, I’m not in the market for a Romneybot 4000, thanks. What’s that? Fifty percent off? That’s tempting, but — What? Seventy percent off? Well, you’ve given me something to — Come again? Ninety percent off?” We’re getting the electoral equivalent of 90 percent off on the price of Connecticut next year. All we have to do is … order the Romneybot. Dude?

Here’s Krauthammer from last night’s “Special Report,” daring to utter the magical word “landslide.” Meanwhile, because I feel like I owe you some end-of-the-week giggles on Friday afternoon, dive into this Times story about Obama’s “new route” to re-election. Axelrod’s already figured out a way to win even if they lose Ohio. All O has to do is win some purple states, including a repeat of his shocking 2008 performance in Virginia and North Carolina. Piece of cake. His job approval in Virginia at last check, by the way? 40/54. His job approval in North Carolina? 40/54. Click the image to watch.

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David Strom 8:41 PM on January 30, 2023