Oh my: Prosser now leads in Wisconsin after Winnebago County adds 244 net votes to his total; Update: Prosser loses lead? Update: Prosser to pick up 7,000+ votes due to computer error? Update: "Political bombshell"

Hope and change via Mike Murphy and Randy Melchert. The Journal-Sentinel explains what happened:

A tally compiled by The Associated Press Wednesday and used by news organizations statewide, including the Journal Sentinel, indicated Kloppenburg was leading the race by 204 votes. Figures on Winnebago County’s website are now different from those collected by the AP.

Winnebago County’s numbers say Prosser received 20,701 votes to Kloppenburg’s 18,887. The AP has 19,991 for Prosser to Kloppenburg’s 18,421…

An editor at the AP said the news service became aware of the discrepancy in the past hour. The AP last checked figures with Winnebago County at 10:14 a.m. Wednesday, according to the AP. The county adjusted its figures at 2:27 p.m.


See for yourself by comparing the official county results with the AP’s election night page. Combined, the two candidates picked up more than a thousand votes, which makes me wonder how often this race might seesaw as other officials re-canvass and update their numbers. I wish I had time to start poring through the clerk pages of Wisconsin’s counties to compare their results to the AP’s, but I’ll leave it to the Hot Air faithful to crowdsource that and report back. Please e-mail us with tips if you find or hear of other discrepancies. Apparently Madison — Kloppenburg’s stronghold — is re-canvassing as I write this, so Prosser’s lead might be short-lived.

Speaking of Madison, read Christian Schneider’s analysis at NRO of how dominant Prosser was on election night outside the capital. Excluding Dane County, which encompasses Madison and a whoooooole lot of public employees, Prosser took 53.3 percent of the vote — better than Scott Walker’s statewide total of 52.3 percent in November. The One had better hope that state workers maintain that intensity next year (or, if not, that young voters pick up their slack) or he could have problems.

Update: Randy Melchert says Prosser’s netted another 200 votes in New Berlin while Kloppenburg’s only picked up a few in the (still ongoing) re-canvassing of Madison. Good lord. We might actually win this.

Update: Whoops, tiny mistake in the last post. New Berlin isn’t a county but a city in Waukesha County (which was heavily pro-Prosser). Now corrected.


Update: We are indeed trapped on a seesaw. Randy Melchert is still updating and says that, after several new counties have reported, Prosser’s actually lost votes on the day. Kloppenburg’s lead has expanded by 55 votes, putting her overall advantage at 259.

Update: Sorry, my mistake: I misread Melchert’s numbers. Kloppenburg’s overall lead hasn’t grown, it’s shrunk. According to Melchert, it’s now 83 votes overall, down from 204 this morning.

But … what’s this?

Numerous sources tell me Prosser will pick up 7000 votes in Waukesha Cty. 14,000 votes were apparently not entered into computer system

That’s from local radio host John Mercure; I haven’t seen it reported elsewhere, so take it with a grain of salt. And if you see it confirmed or debunked anywhere, please e-mail.

Update: The Corner says it’s no myth: A computer error in Waukesha County, Prosser’s stronghold, is set to send more than 7,000 votes his way.

After Tuesday night’s Wisconsin Supreme Court election, a computer error in heavily Republican Waukesha County failed to send election results for the entire City of Brookfield to the Associated Press. The error, revealed today, would give incumbent Supreme Court Justice David Prosser a net 7,381 votes against his challenger, attorney Joanne Kloppenburg. On Wednesday, Kloppenburg declared victory after the AP reported she finished the election with a 204-vote lead, out of nearly 1.5 million votes cast.

On election night, AP results showed a turnout of 110,000 voters in Waukesha County — well short of the 180,000 voters that turned out last November, and 42 percent of the county’s total turnout. By comparison, nearly 90 percent of Dane County voters who cast a ballot in November turned out to vote for Kloppenburg.


A presser in Waukesha County has been scheduled for 6:30 ET. I’ve never seen anything like this.

Update: The Journal-Sentinel has picked up the story now. “Political bombshell”:

In a political bombshell, the clerk in a Republican stronghold is set to release new vote totals giving 7,500 votes in the state Supreme Court race back toward Justice David Prosser, swinging the race significantly in his favor.

The Waukesha County clerk’s office has told state elections officials that they will be adjusting the vote totals to give incumbent David Prosser more than 7,000 new votes, said Mike Haas, staff attorney for the state Government Accountability Board.

“Waukesha will be adjusting their vote totals by 14,000,” Haas said the Accountability Board was told.

The numbers will add some 11,000 votes for Prosser and some 3,000 for Kloppenburg, he said.

Wisconsin sources tell the Standard’s Stephen Hayes that there’s a paper trail to all this so it’ll be very difficult to dispute. I’m sorely tempted to roll out the Humpbot, but there have been too many twists in the past 48 hours to have comfort on that. Let’s wait at least to see how Team Kloppenburg responds.

Update: Liberal statistician Nate Silver says the new numbers make sense.

Update (Ed): Want a laugh? Check out Michael Moore’s Twitter feed.  He’s upset that the counties are conducting a canvass — you know, to make sure that the votes actually get counted correctly — because, er, “Kloppenburg has already declared victory! Repubs in WI r behaving like sore losers.”  No, this is not a parody account, either, although it’s hard to tell.


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