Rasmussen: Three different Republicans within six points of Boxer in California

Deep blue state, profoundly unlikeable Democrat, heavy baggage from Hopenchange, Republican upstart uncomfortably close: This sounds familiar. Like Castellanos said — no one is safe.

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America looks forward to addressing her as “ma’am” again.

In California, 49% favor the health care plan, while 48% oppose it. But as in other states, the emotion is on the side of the opponents: Just 25% of California voters Strongly Favor the plan while 39% Strongly Oppose it.

Perhaps even more significantly, 55% of California voters rate the U.S. economy as poor, while just seven percent (7%) think it’s good or excellent. Golden State voters are evenly divided over whether the economy is improving: 36% say it’s getter better, while 35% say it’s getting worse. Twenty-five percent (25%) believe it’s staying about the same.

“Any incumbent who polls below 50% at this point in the season is considered potentially vulnerable,” noted Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports. “However, vulnerable incumbents still have the power of their office and still have a decent chance of winning. The Democratic leaning political gravity of California will certainly give Senator Boxer a boost in that effort.”…

The fact that Boxer’s support is frozen at 46% against all GOP challengers suggest that the race for now is about her rather than those running against her.

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Fiorina pulls 43 percent, DeVore 40, and Tom Campbell, whom I’ve never heard of, nets a cool 42, putting all three well within the margin of error against … a three-term incumbent. Taking her down would be as sweet as taking down Reid, frankly: She’s further left than he is, just as personally nasty, and would be as glorious a trophy coming from big blue as Dingy is as majority leader. It’ll be much harder to beat her, sure, but given the fine job Democrats have done with California’s economy, voters there should be even more primed than Massachusetts for a Senate shocker. Remember, the big storyline in the midterms may well end up having less to do with the GOP than with visceral anti-incumbent sentiment. We’ll take it. AP pessimism meter check: 8.0, indicating near-certain soul-crushing defeat, down from 10.0 yesterday, indicating “abandon all hope, ye who enter here.”

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David Strom 12:00 PM | June 24, 2026
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