Very curious. From Gallup:

And from yesterday’s Times poll:

In other words, bias against Mormons is real — but it’s nowhere near as prevalent as people think it is. Just look at the spread as of June, before the sharp uptick in the Times poll. It’s an almost 50-point swing between people’s willingness to vote for a Mormon and their confidence in whether others are similarly willing. Any other explanation here besides the media blowing the Mormon issue out of all proportion?

It’s a testament to Mitt, of course, that the public’s willingness to vote for a Mormon has increased as they’ve become more exposed to him.

Exit question: Say, who’s at the bottom of the pile?