New Q-poll shows Colorado looking pretty darned red ... so far

Yesterday, Jazz sounded a pessimistic note about Republican prospects in Colorado. Today, Quinnipiac gives a more hopeful look about turning the key swing state into the GOP column next year. In a survey released today, every major Republican presidential candidate beats Hillary Clinton in head-to-head match-ups — by double digits:

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With 25 percent of the vote, Dr. Ben Carson is the clear leader among Colorado Republicans and tops Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton 52 – 38 percent in a general election matchup, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

In fact, Clinton trails all leading Republican contenders by margins of 11 percentage points or more, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. …

Colorado voters back any leading Republican contender over Clinton by wide margins:

  • Rubio over Clinton 52 – 36 percent;
  • Carson leads Clinton 52 – 38 percent;
  • Cruz tops Clinton 51 – 38 percent;
  • Trump beats Clinton 48 – 37 percent.

Sanders runs better than Clinton in general election matchups;

  • Rubio over Sanders 52 – 39 percent;
  • Carson beats Sanders 52 – 40 percent;
  • Cruz tops Sanders 49 – 42 percent;
  • Trump gets 46 percent to Sanders’ 44 percent.

Hillary gets the worst favorability rating of any candidate in either party, a -28 at 33/61. Donald Trump comes in second to last with a -24 at 34/58. Two-thirds of all respondents say Hillary cannot be trusted (30/67), and a majority say the same thing about Trump, 37/57. Interestingly, Hillary fares as badly with women on this question (33/62) as Trump (32/61). So much for the gender gap. Rubio, Carson, and Sanders are all grouped at the top of the honest list within the margin of error of each other (and all get majorities among women), while Ted Cruz comes close with a majority 50/35 for honesty.

Among Republicans in Colorado, Carson leads with 25%, but Rubio comes within six points at 19%. Carson and Rubio tie for the lead among women at 22%. Trump follows as a close third at 17%. Trump’s determined opposition (27%) outweighs his support in Colorado for a -10 overall, while only 5% of voters would refuse to vote for either Carson or Rubio. In fact, that’s the lowest determined opposition among the whole field.

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Bear in mind that progressives spent a lot of time, effort, and money to turn Colorado blue over the last decade. Read The Blueprint by Rob Witwer and Adam Schrager to get up to speed on the conversion of this Interior West state to the Democrats, a status that has already begun to slip. That should have prepared Hillary for an easy win in this state, but this survey indicates that not only would Hillary give Colorado back to the GOP in the presidential election, she might damage the Democratic ticket all the way down the line.

I’ll have much more on Colorado and what Republicans and conservatives need to do in my upcoming book, Going Red, coming out in April from Crown Forum and available for preorder now. Until then, keep an eye on the polling, and what the GOP is doing to better organize itself in the Rocky Mountain State.

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John Stossel 12:00 AM | May 03, 2024
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