NFL week 15 open thread

Cincinnati came up short last week against Minnesota, and they're going to have trouble with the Chargers, who are playing excellent football now. … The Cowboys managed to solve New Orleans, and maybe give some hope to the Minnesota Vikings that they can gain the NFC home-field advantage in the playoffs this year. … Indy has played so many games from behind that almost every week sportswriters have begun writing in fourth quarters about Peyton's first stumble, only to delete the lead and rewrite it…

NFL wild card round 1 open thread

They play tough against the rush but are only 23rd against the pass -- and Roethlisberger is hot (#2 passing offense in the NFL) and has two deadly threats deep in Antonio Brown and Martavis Bryant. … Ravens at Steelers (8:15, NBC) - These two teams finished the season with nearly identical records, with the 3rd seed Steelers only having one more win than their established rival 6th seed Ravens. … The Jets have retired to their couches to watch the playoffs with the rest of us, but they will come in next year with a new General Manager, a new head coach and (very likely) yet another quarterback…

Super Bowl Chat and Open Thread: Steelers vs Cardinals

Either way, we'll cheer the culmination of a great season by two surprising teams tonight, talk about the awful commercials, and celebrate the fact that Hot Air will continue its ongoing mission regardless of the momentary stumbles and obstacles, thanks to The Boss ... and not the one performing at halftime tonight. … If Jazz Shaw has forgiven me for giving his lovely wife the idea of torturing Jazz with the Mamma Mia DVD last night, perhaps he'll moderate the chat room -- or if not, maybe he'll just insult me as often as possible from it during the game. … It's also going to be the end of the road for the amazing run of the Arizona Cardinals, who spent the regular season getting blown out by Philly, New England, and the Jets, and then besting Philly, Atlanta, and surprisingly Carolina to get to their first-ever Super Bowl…

NFL Week 17 open thread

Lions at Packers -There are no playoff implications in this game; Green Bay has cinched the top seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, and the Lions will go on the road next week as a wild card no matter what. … Playing the Chiefs at home, I'd expect the defense to recover from last week's drubbing by the Bills on the road with a more solid game, and the usual fourth-quarter heroics of Tim Tebow. … The Pittsburgh Steelers have already clinched a playoff spot, but they could ascend all the way to the top spot in the AFC and clinch home field advantage -- with a lot of help…

NFL Week 4 open thread

The Giants have not looked impressive, but they have to win this one or they can fold up the tents and start buying big-screen home-theater TVs for the playoffs, and they're at home. … Not only have they gone 3-0, all three opponents that the Steelers have beat have winning records coming into this week -- and the Steelers have done it with a passing game rated dead last in the NFL. … The Pittsburgh Steelers play their fourth and last game without their starting QB, Ben Roethlisberger, and to add to the drama, they take on their arch-rivals, the Baltimore Ravens…

NFL week 8 open thread

Seahawks at Raiders - The Raiders ran up the score against the Broncos last week, so they may have started to turn the corner on their years-long bout of futility ... but Seattle's too tough for Oakland this year. … The Pack has got talent, but they almost lost to the Vikings despite having two touchdowns on interceptions (one directly, the other set up) on sandlot passes from Favre and another one given to them by poor officiating, while the refs took a good one away from the Vikes. … The Steelers have had a lot of people picking them as the toughest team in the league, but they nearly let one slip away against a good Miami Dolphins team last week…

NFL week 16 open thread. The Ed v Jazz Bowl edition

(They're leading the hunt for the number one draft pick next year.) Still, the Bengals defense has been rebounding just as the Dolphins have been looking as if they've finally hit rock bottom and broken out the pickaxes and dynamite. … Saints at Titans (1:00 pm, FOX) - The Saints have been a safe pick most of the season, but Tennessee has really been playing better than their record would indicate and they've surprised good teams before. … (Either Buffalo or New England will almost certainly lock up the first with the other winning the AFC East.) The Jets have always loved to play the spoiler, but despite stringing together a few wins, the injuries have simply been too much and Sam Darnold is back to looking tentative when he gets rushed…

NFL Week 15 open thread

Patriots at Broncos -- Hey, I think Tim Tebow is having an amazing run, and is a standup young man of faith, and I think the string of improbable victories has been one the most cheery stories of the season. … Saints at Vikings -- The Vikes ended up getting stiffed by the the officials on a screwy last play, when they missed an obvious face-mask violation by Detroit, which nearly lost a home game that they should have easily won. … This week, the Steelers face big challenges -- and not just from the San Francisco 49ers, who are playing high-level NFL football this season and are running away with their division at 10-3, the same record as the Steelers…

NFL suspends Roethlisberger for 4-6 games

That said, you are held to a higher standard as an NFL player, and there is nothing about your conduct in Milledgeville that can remotely be described as admirable, responsible, or consistent with either the values of the league or the expectations of our fans." … Commissioner Roger Goodell handed down the punishment a week after prosecutors decided not to charge Roethlisberger in a case involving a 20-year-old college student who accused him of sexually assaulting her in a Georgia nightclub in March. … Roger Goodell suspended Roethlisberger for a minimum of four games while demanding the Steeler star get "comprehensive behavioral evaluation" from medical professionals, with his return to the game dependent on his cooperation…

NFL Week 2 open thread

Redskins at Rams -- RG3 got the better start to the season in last week's surprising domination of the New Orleans Saints, going 19-26 for 320 yards and two TDs. … Normally I don't pick Jets games because Jazz whines about it when I do out of courtesy to Jazz, but I'm going to pick the Steelers to win at home in a tough game, 27-21. … They lost to a sharp-looking Peyton Manning in Denver, but were competitive until almost the end, when Tracy Porter jumped a route and got a pick-six to put the game away…

NFL division playoffs round 2 open thread

Their D is almost impossible to rush against for many yards and their secondary has kept most red zone attempts from scoring a TD. But I still have to wonder how much Keenum's lack of playoff experience under this sort of pressure will come into play. … The Steelers have averaged more than 31 points offensively over the past seven games and Roethlisberger has been putting up well over 300 yards and nearly three touchdowns every time. … (I was certainly all right with it.) I'm now at 3-3 for the off-season and well on my way of fulfilling Jazz' prediction of a split between the regular season and offseason Hot Air competition…

NFL Week 13 open thread

Broncos at Jaguars (1:00 pm, CBS) - Trevor Siemian will be inactive today due to a foot injury, which will put a dent in their offense, but Denver's defense will make the difference. … The Steelers are tied for first in their division while the Giants are probably too far behind the Cowboys to catch up, but are currently barely in the lead for a wildcard slot. … It was a mediocre week all the way around, but we know there's one bright spot coming now: On the Cleveland Browns #SkunkWatch, they're absolutely not going to lose today…

NFL Week 5 open thread

Broncos at Patriots - Peyton Manning had a breakout game last week in the rout against Oakland, while Tom Brady and the Pats are struggling in New England. … With Polamalu and Harrison both back and Mendenhall able to boost the running game, expect the Steelers D to shut down Philly and the offense to wear down the Eagles. … Three key starters -- Troy Polamalu and James Harrison on defense, and RB Rashard Mendenhall on offense -- will play in today's game against the Philadelphia Eagles in the Keystone State Bowl…

NFL week 17 open thread

Ravens at Bengals (1:00 pm, FOX) - Cincinnati is trying to lock down a first round bye, which they can land with a win and Denver losing or tying, OR a tie with Denver losing OR they could even do it with a loss if both Denver loses AND the Chiefs win. … That description alone should be enough to tell you that Green Bay will win, but it's been a (late) season of miracles and I'm going to tip over the apple cart entirely, taking the Vikings to win this one in a frozen, close grudge match, 27-24 and punch their ticket to the post-season. … But if the Jets lose and the Steelers win, Pittsburgh goes to the dance and the Jets watch it all on TV. Plus, they're playing on the road, up on the shores of Lake Erie where the winds will be howling and the temperatures below freezing…

NFL Week 16 open thread

Returning to the aforementioned glimmer, my Jets have come back with a string of wins (some ugly, some definitive) and demonstrated that they are one of the best teams the AFC has to offer on both offense and defense. … The Pittsburgh game should be a no brainer and I'm going to take the Steelers in a rather lopsided win 27-12 while hoping against hope that the Ravens somehow pull it out to give the Jets a glimmer of hope. … The Pats will come with everything they have today (1 pm, CBS), and that will be too much for the scrappy but inconsistent Jets ... even though almost everyone would like to see them win, including me…

NFL Week 2 open thread

Carolina - Atlanta: I thought Carolina and Jake Delhomme would have shaken off what happened in the playoffs last year, but instead they gave Philly an encore last week. … The game looked like it would be a replay from last week's stunning loss in Michigan, but fortunately the Irish blitz panicked the Spartan QB into a bad decision at the end. … Well, I'm already feeling pretty darned good today, after Notre Dame's escape from Michigan State yesterday, beating them at home for the first time since 1993…

NFL open thread, week 11

Indianapolis should have lost their first game to the Patriots, but Belichick's gamble allowed them to mostly run the ball and score a TD to win the game. … Oh, and during the week, I decided to take a long shot and apply for a press pass to a Steelers home game ... and got politely denied, as I'd expected. Bummer. … I went 3-3 for the third week in a row, only with a big assist from Bill Belichick, but the Steelers couldn't score a TD against the Cincinnati Bengals and got swept in the season series…

NFL week 9 open thread

They're too good to lose four in a row, which is usually the kind of logic that gets me in trouble in Vegas (and with Republicans). … Dallas at Philadelphia - All right, Philly proved something last week -- they can look invincible at times, even if they did lose to the Raiders a couple of weeks ago. … Denver comes off its first loss of the season, a 30-7 drubbing at the hands of Baltimore in which their defense got blasted for the first time all season…

NFL week 6 open thread

The Lions have been playing strong against the Saints in recent seasons, but Matthew Stafford has been getting beaten up because of an offensive line that can't seem to protect him. … The Bucs could have beaten the Pats in the last seconds of last week's game if Jameis Winston had had another second to throw, or if his receiver had turned around. … Jazz: Well, I've managed to go 3-4 for three weeks in a row, bringing me to a season total of 19-16, tied with Ed. I probably shouldn't expect to do much better this week since I've spent much of it in the wild of Maine, chasing the elusive Bigfoot…

NFL Open Thread: Week 1

San Diego at Oakland - Oakland sold out its Monday night game, which is great for television viewers in the bay area, since they can watch San Diego thrash them from the comfort of their own living rooms. … They'll start Brady Quinn, the former Notre Dame star, but don't expect Quinn to rescue the Browns from a tough Vikings defense. … The first week got off to a great start, as the Steelers jumped to the lead in the AFC ... because they played on Thursday, which I almost missed until someone on Twitter wondered why I was so quiet about the game…

NFL week 17 open thread

Rams at Seahawks - The winner of this game will either be the first 8-8 playoff team in several years, or the first team with a losing record to ever make the playoffs in a non-strike year, respectively. … Bengals at Ravens - Cincinnati just broke a 10-game losing streak with two straight wins over Cleveland and San Diego at home, but they're going on the road against Baltimore, who has to win to keep pressure on the Steelers for that division title. … I think the Buccaneers will be watching the playoffs from home this year after a valiant effort; the Saints should be able to take care of business by beating Tampa Bay 31-21…

NFL week 10 open thread

Chiefs at Broncos (4:25 pm, CBS) - Denver has been proven to not be infallible and the Chiefs were on a bit of a roll, but Peyton has the experience to put Denver back on track. … Jazz: The Steelers host the Browns (1:00 pm, CBS) and I can't really even argue their being a five point favorite with this new Jones guy at QB. (Should Big Ben just go work at a medical center at this point?) Home field advantage is big in Pittsburgh, so I'll go with Ed and take the Steel Curtain 21-20. … Jazz: I'm going to break a years long pattern this week and pick against the Jets (since they managed to lose to Buffalo on Thursday) so there's one in the bag for me right there…

Bad news: Bills receiver blames God after dropping game-winning TD pass

The Twitter account isn't verified so it's not 100 percent certain that that's the real Stevie Johnson, but c'mon -- you can tell from the all caps that this is a serious crisis of faith. … They were down 13 points in the third quarter and rallied to tie it; now in OT and just out of field-goal range on Pittsburgh's 40-yard line, quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick spots receiver Stevie Johnson breaking towards the end zone downfield. … ET.) To set the scene: 16-16 in overtime in Buffalo, the 2-8 Bills trying to salvage their season with an unlikely upset of the 7-3 Steelers…

NFL Regular Season open thread

As we all know, these vitally important bits of prognostication, along with a dollar, might get you a cup of coffee at McDonald's, but they have a lot of experience so it's worth seeing what they think. … Also, just to add a bit more spice to the mix, Ed and I have joined a fantasy league with a group of mostly bloggers and politicos from across the political spectrum, so we'll probably give you a peek at that as well. … But one thing to look forward to takes place on November 9th when, due to the vagaries of the NFL scheduling rules, we shall once again be treated to the Ed-Jazz Bowl, as the Jets host the Steelers in New Jersey…

NFL week 7 open thread

I think what happened to Rush was horrid, and the lies told about him a great reminder that McCarthyism is alive and well, but my problem is much more with the media who participated in that than the NFL, which nonetheless owes Rush a huge apology. … Chicago has to play tough to keep within shooting distance of the Vikes in their division, and the Bengals have to win to keep Pittsburgh from climbing into first place if the Steelers beat the Vikes. … Oakland finally played a good game against Philly, shutting them down and getting just enough offense to get by, while the Jets' Mark Sanchez finally started looking like a rookie…

NFL Week 6 open thread

The Browns have looked surprisingly competitive this year and won their only road game of the season, but the Raiders will be looking to make a statement in front of Davis' crowd in their return. … Houston comes off of a loss to an emotional Oakland team (my upset pick from last week), and they'll be looking to recapture their momentum, especially in a year where their traditional rival, the Colts, are floundering. … This week Jacksonville comes to Pittsburgh, bringing their league-worst passing offense but decent defense to play against a Pittsburgh team that looks like it finally has its act together…

NFL week 3 open thread

Carolina at Dallas - As much as I'd like to see the Panthers recover their wits and play the Cowboys tough, I just can't pick them over the 'Boys. … If they don't beat the Bengals, they're going to find themselves at 1-2 and looking at Bengal backsides for a good part of the season in the AFC North. … Jay Cutler finally found himself and outplayed the Steeler defense when it counted, a defense that misses Troy Polamalu even more than I'd feared…

NFL Week 14 open thread

Dallas has only lost once at home, but they keep making mistakes that they can't afford against Eli Manning and the Giants, who nearly beat the Packers last week. … Vikings at Lions -- I think the Lions are close to melting down through a lack of discipline, and the Vikings play better than their 2-10 record would indicate. … We're entering the final quarter of the season, and the Pittsburgh Steelers got there a little earlier than the rest of the league, winning 14-3 over the Cleveland Browns on Thursday night…

NFL week 15 open thread

Finally, Eli Manning will get his second start in a row against the visiting Dolphins, who won two of their three games against quality opponents (Eagles and Colts). … Ed: The Steelers and Bills actually match up pretty well against each other, which prompts the question as to what this game would be like if Pittsburgh had all its starters on offense. … The Steelers host the Bills in Pittsburgh tonight (8:20 pm, NBC) and this game will be interesting because if Pittsburgh can win they will be essentially tied with the Bills for the first wildcard slot…

NFL week 11 open thread

Chiefs at Rams (Monday, 8:15 pm, ESPN) - The reason this one got moved back to LA is because the Mexico City stadium's field was completely torn up by that other game the rest of the world calls "football. … Cowboys at Falcons (1:00 pm, FOX) - The Cowboys are still within striking distance of the Redskins while the Falcons don't look to be in striking distance of even a wildcard slot in their tough division. … Ed: A Week 2 win over the Patriots made everyone pay attention to the Jags, but they've lost six out of seven since and five in a row, and that's not all because of Leonard Fournette's absence…

NFL week 7 open thread

Cowboys at Giants (4:25 pm, Fox) - Matt Cassel is a good pickup for the Cowboys, but the Giants at home have something to prove after last week's embarrassing loss to the Eagles, and Cassel will need more than one game to get his legs under him. … The only fly in the ointment is Detroit's 27th ranked rushing defense, but the Vikes have the worst passing offense in the league, and that means the Lions can load up against Adrian Peterson and the run. … Jones came out of oblivion last week to provide Pittsburgh with a much-needed spark and ended up looking like the second coming of Ben Roethlisberger, rallying the Steelers to provide the upset against Arizona…

NFL week 2 open thread

Packers 17-14 over the Vikings, maybe even in OT. Finally, the NFL has put the Browns at Jets on Monday night, which might be the best expression of hope over experience anyone has seen. … The Jets were already probably going to be at even odds at best, but now Sam Darnold has mono, our new star running back has a bum shoulder and we had to recruit a new placekicker out of the parking lot. … Perhaps now that we've had a chance to take our first look at everyone's starting squad, we'll do a bit better this week ... as long as we don't pick the Browns…

NFL week 8 open thread

This is nothing but instinct, and the Giants have only won one game all year, but I'll toss Ed a bone and take a flyer on the Giants in a defensive battle, 19-16. … The AFC North-leading Steelers welcome the basement dwelling Cleveland Browns (1:00 pm, CBS) in a divisional matchup where nobody is exactly burning up the track. … Jazz: Since the deal here is that the winner each week gets to write the NFL thread the following week and a push goes to the last winner, I'm beginning to suspect that Ed is up to something sneaky…

NFL week 10 open thread

Saints at Bills (1:00 pm, FOX) - The Bills have a great ground game on both sides of the ball, but the Saints haven't dropped one since week 2 and they match up well against Buffalo with Drew Brees under center. … Not bad in terms of doing better than flipping a coin, but still one game behind Ed. I'm still in shock over the Jets game so I'll try not to say too much more than that to jinx us. … Jazz: I'll handle the honors for the NFL thread again this week, partly because Ed is slacking off out of town (though he did mail in his picks for us) and also because we tied last week…

NFL Week 4 open thread

Panthers at Ravens (1:00, CBS) - The Panthers got surprised by Pittsburgh last week, but this one won't be a surprise; they're 29th against the rush, in no small part because of their performance last week. … Patriots at Chiefs (Monday 8:30, ESPN) - The Chiefs haven't exactly been doing well at home lately, but the much ballyhooed Patriots have been stinking the joint up this season with a record as bad as, er... the Jets. … 500 mark at 10-10, but still trailing Ed. The good news is that a little known codicile in the NFL thread agreement dictates that Jazz Wins All Ties, so I get to do the post this week…

NFL Week 4 open thread

Newton is the Panther's rushing leader, but he's going to find the Chicago defense a tough proposition on the ground, if not in the air, while Chicago's rushing game is better equipped to deal with Carolina. … Today may be their road back to the win column, because they may only need 30 minutes to beat the equally winless but much less competitive Kansas City Chiefs, even in KC. I'll take the Vikings, 27-20. … Their O-line needs some improvement, too, if Ben Roethlisberger expects to be breathing at the end of this game, and that means getting a running game going, which has eluded Pittsburgh all season…

Poll: 33% of NFL fans say they purposely stopped watching this year

The results also show an interesting difference between male and female respondents: more men said they turned away from the NFL in support of Trump (35% to 25%), while more women said they did it in support of the players kneeling (30% to 17%) or in support of Kaepernick (17% to 10%). … They answered as follows: 32% said they stopped watching or attending NFL games "in support of Donald Trump"; 22% said "in solidarity with players kneeling"; 13% said "no interest in the teams playing"; 12% said "in support of Colin Kaepernick"; and 11% said "news about traumatic brain injuries among players. … If there's any doubt that Kaepernick's exile from the league is due partly, or even mostly, to politics rather than ability, go watch game film of Jags/Bills and ask if either team wouldn't have benefited from having him under center instead of their respective scrub QBs…

NFL Week 7 open thread

(Memo to Irsay: That's more than some other teams in the league.) Expect Manning to prove Irsay as adept a personnel manager as a gracious host by demonstrating that the Andrew Luck Era could have waited a couple of years. … Broncos at Colts (8:25 pm, NBC) - Peyton Manning comes home to Indianapolis, which plans to honor his long years during the game, even though owner Jim Irsay demonstrated his lack of class by complaining that Manning only got them one Super Bowl ring. … When I looked up the game on ESPN, I was pleasantly surprised to see the Steelers favored by three points, which has a lot to do with Baltimore's mediocrity in all phases of their game except rushing defense (9th-ranked)…

NFL Week 13 open thread

Drew Brees has the 3rd-rated passing offense and Pittsburgh's secondary is full of holes, but most of their injured players will be coming back today, including Troy Polamalu. … I'm starting Ben Roethlisberger because the Saints are 23rd against the pass, but they're also 23rd against the run, too, and they're worse on the road. … Jazz: The Saints visit the Steelers this week, (1:00 FOX) and while New Orleans was originally forecast to be Superbowl bound this season, this looks like yet another mountain they can't climb…

NFL Week 3 open thread

NY Jets at Miami - These teams are facing a Week 3 identity crisis, having both lost to one good opponent and beaten another, although perhaps the Vikes aren't as good as we first thought. … Under these conditions, it might seem dangerous to make predictions for today's NFL games, but if the Steelers can have a two-game winning streak without a quarterback, I can at least take a flier on a half-dozen games before I get a half-dozen cups of coffee in me. … I'm barely conscious after staying out later for my 30-year reunion than I did for my senior prom, and I'll be traveling home today and hoping to catch up on my sleep deficit…

NFL Week 6 open thread

They turn the ball over, make too many mental mistakes, and in general look like the best team without a win in the league ... which isn't hard to do, since they're the only team without a win. … Cowboys at Vikings - Warren Sapp calls this the "Dead Man's Bowl," because whichever 1-3 team loses this game should make plans for watching the playoffs on TV. The Vikings have a controversy with Brett Favre and his alleged sexting of a New York Jets employee during his tenure there, which will get addressed later this week by the Commish. … The Browns have lost both of their road games, while the Steelers have managed to go 3-1 without their franchise player, thanks to a mostly-great performance from the Steel Curtain defense and some gut-check play by backup Charlie Batch…

NFL Week 6 open thread

Dallas is 2-3, but they're 2-1 at home with the Broncos their only loss in Big D. RGIII might have a shot against the worst-ranked passing defense in the league, but Washington's road win against Oakland last week won't be the start of a streak. … Maybe the shutdown should sideline the Barrycaders, who are off to a 1-3 start, and now have to take on a Dallas team that very nearly shocked Peyton Manning and the Broncos last week. … (Denver hosts the winless Jaguars, and Kansas City hosts 2-3 Oakland.) New Orleans is coming off three strong wins in a row, and the Patriots look more ordinary than their 4-1 record…