Don't underestimate Biden's base

The media recently went all in on pushing Biden’s behavior with women as problematic. From the first “allegation” to now, Biden’s RCP average dropped by just 0.3 percentage points. In a new Reuters/Ipsos poll, Biden takes a quarter of the vote, with Bernie earning just 15%. 63% of all Americans polled had a favorable opinion of Biden as opposed to just 44% who find President Trump favorable.

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But more important than how many support Biden is who supports him. With that, Uncle Joe’s hit jackpot.

Biden consistently earns high levels of support from older and African Americans, both key demographics for winning the Democratic primary. Biden has the highest favorability among non-White primary voters, and four in ten African Americans say they would vote for him. In addition, one-third of adults older than 55 back Biden, a key demographic in voter turnout.

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