My friend Roland Martin put one of these on my radar. In Illinois, prominent black ministers around the state cast their lot with the GOP. They encouraged congregants to abandon Governor Quinn in Illinois and support the Republican. That made a real difference in the metropolitan Chicago area, where the Republican this time outperformed prior Republicans.

Another one that is a real surprise to me is Georgia. But it is abundantly apparent from the turn out data and the anecdotal evidence. Black voters were turning out for Democrats in early voting. In fact, I’m told that privately the GOP saw Democrats outpacing them in early voting around the state. But on Election Day, black voters stayed home. The weather was perfect. The Democrats had a mobilization ground game. It was a conscious decision by black voters.

Sure enough, reports from all over the state were the same. Heavily white precincts had huge turnout, but largely black precincts did not see the turnout people expected. Both Perdue and Deal made gains where Nunn and Carter did not.