“It’s not that close a race,” Geer said, predicting Romney would prevail with little trouble. “I suspect a lot of hard-core conservatives are still getting used to the idea of Romney as the nominee, and by the time the general election comes along, they’ll be in lock step with Romney. But right now there’s a small chunk that are still being cautious.”

Three of every four poll participants said they were registered to vote.

While he swept to a big victory nationally in 2008, Obama lost Tennessee by a large margin to U.S. Sen. John McCain, who won 57 percent of the vote here. Former Democratic Vice President Al Gore, a son of Tennessee, lost the state to George W. Bush in 2000, costing him the Oval Office as the race came down to Florida.