As you can see, the candidate preferences of likely GOP caucusgoers are much closer to their issue preferences than their estimation of who can beat Obama. Issue agreement, in other words, seems to be driving the caucuses. So then the question becomes: which issues?

This next graph uses the same poll to look at the issues that likely GOP caucusgoers say are “extremely important” to their vote:

As you probably expected: the economy dominates. But which economic issues are foremost in likely GOP caucusgoers minds? If you guessed unemployment, you’re wrong.