In the end, it turned out that Obama had too much of a gap to make up in New Hampshire. The Clinton machine was really good at turning out the vote. And the polls hadn’t reflected the late-breaking news of Clinton’s tear filled episode at a diner the day before the primary, which helped boost her numbers among women.
Brown isn’t as well-positioned in the polls as Obama was in New Hampshire going into primary day, and most pollsters view the Massachusetts Senate race as a toss up. But the momentum for Brown, the enthusiasm of his supporters, the collapse of Coakley, have all contributed to the perception that this is now Brown’s race (he’s up to 63.9% on Intrade).Yet we haven’t seen any polls that have reflected President Obama’s visit yesterday, and just like Clinton, Coakley will have the machine behind her (actually, she’ll have Clinton’s machine). So, Brown still may very well win the race, it honestly could go either way. But however inept Coakley is as a candidate, however much energy Brown’s campaign seems to have, I keep reminding myself that as a Republican running in Massachusetts, he needs everything to break right, and I keep thinking back to New Hampshire.