Influential election forecaster Charlie Cook, who only one month ago tweeted that “the race is OVER” with Trump headed for defeat, revised his assessment on Saturday, acknowledging that “the race is in a different place than 8 or 9 days ago when there was virtually no path for Trump.”
The model run by data guru Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.com gives Clinton a 65 percent chance of winning and Trump a 35 percent chance. That’s down from Clinton’s high – achieved less than three weeks ago, on Oct. 17 – when she had an 88 percent chance of victory, compared to only 12 percent for Trump.
And CNN’s model, which once had Clinton surpassing the 270 electoral college votes necessary for victory, dropped the Democrat below that threshold on Friday, moving New Hampshire out of her column and back into toss-up territory.
Clinton is still the favorite in all of the models.
Cook noted that he still believes Trump’s chances of victory are “fairly small.”
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