Run, Newt, run

Rick Santorum: Santorum is not going to win, and unlike Ron Paul, he’s probably not going to keep running just to ensure that his message is part of the conversation. He’ll drop out, at some point, putting about one sixth of the GOP electorate up for grabs. Now, some polls have shown Santorum supporters favoring Gingrich over Romney as a second choice. Some have shown them favoring Romney. It really depends on the overall momentum of the race at that moment. But Gingrich would have a reasonable opportunity to grab a majority of Santorum supporters.

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Sheldon Adelson: Gingrich may not boast Romney’s money, but he does have the undying devotion of billionaire casino owner Sheldon Adelson, who has shelled out $10 million to pro-Gingrich super PACs over the past few weeks. The guy is worth something like $22 billion, and there’s nothing stopping him from dropping $100 million of it on Gingrich. Or $300 million. Or a billion. That would be crazy, but so is the affection Adelson has for Gingrich.

Mitt Romney: There’s no telling what horrible things could befall Romney in the coming months. Maybe some damning tax revelations will leak out. Maybe a former Bain executive will turn up and admit that he and Romney used to smoke cigars filled with $100 bills as they laughed maniacally about the companies they’d looted.

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