Apparently, we no longer wait until the midterms are over to begin polling the next presidential field. CNN has certainly abandoned the tradition, putting a poll in the field to see who the favorites will be among the Democrats and how people are feeling about Trump’s chances. This one is worth taking a look at though, because it really flies in the face of everything we’ve been hearing about the Year of the Woman, the importance of young, fresh faces and the rise of the far left.
So who are people looking to in hopes of defeating Donald Trump? Ladies and gentlemen, get ready for the Crazy Uncle Joe Show.
In the race for the Democratic nomination to face Trump, former Vice President Biden leads a massive potential field. The poll asked Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents to choose their preferred presidential nominee among 16 possible candidates. Biden tops the list with 33% support, followed by independent Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, the 2016 runner-up, at 13%. Sen. Kamala Harris of California follows at 9%, with Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts at 8%. Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey and 2004 Democratic nominee John Kerry garnered 5% support.
I have speculated here on numerous occasion about the threat of a possible Biden run. In my opinion, he’s the most dangerous Democrat on the list in terms of general election viability. People just seem to genuinely like Joe Biden. Heck… even I like Joe Biden. He just comes across as that guy you wouldn’t mind having a beer with even if he does leer at your wife in a kind of creepy way.
But the conventional wisdom over the past two years has been that the Democrats are done with elderly white men for candidates. (Unless, of course, the elderly white man is a socialist like Bernie Sanders.) To his credit, Bernie is the only other Democrat drawing double-digit support at this point. So where is all the love for the new breed of young, socialist lesbians of color?
To put that in contrast, when you lump in Donald Trump as the expected nominee for the Republicans, the three leading contenders are not only all white men, but their combined age in January of 2021 adds up to (scratches on the back of the cocktail napkin quickly)… 231 years. Something isn’t matching the narrative here.
Speaking of President Trump, how is he looking in the poll? You’ll probably be surprised to learn that he’s still within the margin of error in terms of being the favorite to win.
The public is split over whether they think the President will win a second term — 46% say he will and 47% say he won’t. But that’s a steep improvement for him since March, when 54% of adults said they thought he’d lose his bid for a second term. The share seeing a second Trump win in the offing has risen across party lines. The increase is a bit sharper among men (up 8 points), independents (from 39% in March to 47% now) and those who are enthusiastic about voting in this year’s midterms (from 37% in March to 46% now).
The media is going to have a hard time spinning this poll, but I’m sure they’ll try. Still, these numbers are nothing but a parlor game for now. We still don’t even know for sure who will be running or even if Trump will still be interested in a second term by this time next year. (And who could blame him if he just went home?) But the big takeaway here is on the side of the Democrats. If you’re looking for a big wave of socialist change, Joe Biden’s not your guy. So maybe this socialist wave isn’t all it’s cracked up to be.