Oh well. All that newfound optimism was making me uneasy anyway. It’s always better to be pessimistic — that way you can never be disappointed.

CNN’s got the generic at 20. Between them and Fox, even if it’s true that polls underestimate Republican support, they don’t underestimate it by 15 points, folks.

Oh, did I mention that Survey USA has Webb ahead of Allen — by seven?

Come home to daddy. Come home to pessimism.

Here’s a little optimism to sweeten the pot: Talent’s back up by one in Missouri, Santorum’s within four according to some pollster I’ve never heard of, and Joementum looks like a mortal lock in Connecticut.

Corker’s up four on Ford in Tennessee too, leading Junior to call in Barack Obama and draw the logical conclusion from their absolute moral authority as black Democrats.

Meanwhile, Hitchens thinks we’re all idiots, the Daily Show expands its stable of fake newsmen for election night, and Americans turn on their televisions and wonder — why is this man smiling?


Update: Cause for optimism — Dick Morris says we’re going to get blown out.

Update: Rumor has it that Junior’s headed to Wall Street if he flames out against Corker. Why? Because God wants it that way.

Update: Suddenly, Richard Armitage’s deafening silence during Plamegate makes perfect sense:

The former US deputy secretary of state Richard Armitage – a Republican who opposed the Iraq war – said his party would pay the price for presenting an “angry face” to the world after the September 11 attacks.

“We were showing a very snarly and angry face,” Mr Armitage said. “I think it’s understandable to a certain degree.

“But we’re well past that now, and it’s time to turn another face to the world, back to more traditional things such as the export of hope and opportunity.”

Update: Kos’s upset special? Lamont over Lieberman in Connecticut.

Alas, his other predictions are pretty solid.

Update: Ace makes the arguments that polls by phone almost necessarily oversample Democrats.

Update: Christopher Dickey of Newsweek reminds you to fight the real enemy:

Saddam wanted to keep the Iraqi state together, with well-defended borders, in the face of a growing threat from the wild-eyed mullahs in Iran. He would kill anybody who threatened that design. And in the 1980s the Reagan administration (with a little token hand wringing) thought that was just fine.

The Democrats, while they may be feckless, are largely blameless in this drama. President Jimmy Carter was too busy bungling the Iran hostage crisis to pay much attention to Saddam, and probably was thankful, for a minute or two, when Iraq launched its war on Iran in 1980. By the time Bill Clinton came to office in 1993—after Saddam had invaded Kuwait, been driven out, and been allowed to survive—there wasn’t that much left for an American president to do, unless he wanted to invade the country, topple the dictator, occupy Baghdad and … well, the Clinton administration had other priorities

You remember President George W. Bush smugly telling The Washington Post in January 2005, “We had an accountability moment, and that’s called the 2004 elections.”

Another accountability moment is coming. Sunday was judgment day for Saddam, who probably will hang. Tuesday will be judgment day for Republicans. What will happen to them afterward, well, we’ll have to wait and see.

Update: Dan Riehl says the Webb-Allen poll is FUBAR.