That’s the conservative estimate. Adjust your probability assumptions slightly and the odds are 12 septillion (12,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000) to 1.
Even so, her story appears to check out. 10 aces. Four months. One of them bounced off a tree and went in.
Thanks to Michael V. for the tip. Slooooow-news-Friday exit question: Does this prove God’s existence?
Update: Changed the headline from “aces” to “holes-in-one” for the benefit of non-golfers.