Hot Air » turnout

Important story of the day: Paul Ryan mentions turnout in cities, which is insensitive or something

Mary Katharine Ham — Wed, 14 Nov 2012 03:11:07 +0000

Talking to Wisconsin reporters just days after his and Mitt Romney’s loss, Rep. Paul Ryan talked about what it felt like when the returns came in, and he realized they would lose. Ryan called it a “foreign experience,” and said President Obama “won fair and square,” and “we congratulated him for that win.” He also [...]

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How Romney got out-organized by Obama

Allahpundit — Fri, 09 Nov 2012 01:14:10 +0000

Management.

I’ve been hoarding links on this subject all day because it’s the other side of the coin of how Romney lost. One side is the demographic challenge, which everyone understands by now. The GOP depends heavily on older voters, white voters, and men, and that’s not a base that’s going to carry you eternally into [...]

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Projection: Nearly eight million white voters who were expected to vote, didn’t; Update: Or did they?

Allahpundit — Thu, 08 Nov 2012 23:59:51 +0000

Turnout.

Essential reading from Sean Trende about the new demographic reality at the polls. Based on his back-of-the-envelope math, there are actually two reasons why there were more minority voters as a share of the electorate this time. One, the reason everyone knows: There were more minority voters, period. Two, the reason no one guessed: If [...]

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Politico: Republicans likely to keep — or extend — House majority

Ed Morrissey — Mon, 05 Nov 2012 15:41:29 +0000

Plus, Democrats running away from Obama?

For those who want to read the last-minute tea leaves, here are a couple of significant-but-indirect indicators of how tomorrow may go. First, Politico joins the Washington Post this week in predicting that not only will Democrats fail to win enough House seats to win control again, they may end up losing more seats to [...]

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Did Gallup change its sampling under pressure from the Left?

Ed Morrissey — Thu, 11 Oct 2012 17:21:45 +0000

Will there be a five-point uptick in non-white voters from 2008?

Jay Cost thinks so, and it appears that Gallup may have at least tacitly admitted it. The Left has critiqued Gallup’s samples, accusing it of continually oversampling white voters and creating an artificial handicap for Barack Obama’s approval and support numbers. David Axelrod made the loudest noise, but Jay cites a column from Mark Blumenthal [...]

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Gallup: Enthusiasm still on the wane

Ed Morrissey — Mon, 13 Aug 2012 18:01:05 +0000

12-point GOP lead among the very engaged.

Despite the oft-heard refrain that this is the most important election in our lifetimes, Gallup’s measure of voter engagement remains off the pace from the last two MIEIOLs. Less than two-thirds of general-population adults have given a significant amount of thought to the upcoming election, down from 70% at the same point in 2008 and [...]

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