Hot Air » rcp http://hotair.com The world’s first, full-service conservative Internet broadcast network Sun, 19 May 2013 19:39:17 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.5.1 What can we really learn from the 2012 polls? http://hotair.com/archives/2012/11/12/what-can-we-really-learn-from-the-2012-polls/ http://hotair.com/archives/2012/11/12/what-can-we-really-learn-from-the-2012-polls/#comments Mon, 12 Nov 2012 23:51:47 +0000 Karl http://hotair.com/?p=229793

More questions than answers

The main things we know about the 2012 campaign polling is that Republican (and GOP-leaning) polling generally missed, and conservative pundits generally misjudged the polls (even if some of their criticisms of specific polls were accurate). However, much of the conventional wisdom curdling around the polling and analysis thereof is not only misguided, but risks [...]

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]]> http://hotair.com/archives/2012/11/12/what-can-we-really-learn-from-the-2012-polls/feed/ 85 RCP poll averages predicted 49 of 50 states http://hotair.com/archives/2012/11/07/rcp-poll-averages-predicted-49-of-50-states/ http://hotair.com/archives/2012/11/07/rcp-poll-averages-predicted-49-of-50-states/#comments Wed, 07 Nov 2012 20:22:49 +0000 Allahpundit http://hotair.com/?p=228832

Results.

One last 2012 poll post for old times’ sake before we start in bright and early tomorrow morning with 2016 polls. (Joking, joking.) There was one basic meta-question in the sturm and drang over Nate Silver and statistical models: Were the state polls showing Obama sweeping the midwest correct or were the national polls, some [...]

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]]> http://hotair.com/archives/2012/11/07/rcp-poll-averages-predicted-49-of-50-states/feed/ 337 Romney up two among likely voters in Gallup, now leads in RCP poll of polls http://hotair.com/archives/2012/10/09/romney-up-two-among-likely-voters-now-leads-in-rcp-poll-of-polls/ http://hotair.com/archives/2012/10/09/romney-up-two-among-likely-voters-now-leads-in-rcp-poll-of-polls/#comments Tue, 09 Oct 2012 20:01:52 +0000 Allahpundit http://hotair.com/?p=222928

Surge.

Yes, I realize you’ve seen one or both of these numbers elsewhere, but I don’t care. I want in on this bloggy Fun Bunch celebration too, damn it. Mitt Romney holds a slight edge over Barack Obama — 49% to 47% — in Gallup’s initial “likely voter” estimate, encompassing interviews from Oct. 2-8. Preferences tilt [...]

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