"Human targeting."

A battle report from the nanny wars. And as usual with nanny measures, I’m left wondering whether they went too far or, per their own logic, not far enough. If you’re looking to spare the smaller, shyer, beta-male kids from unnecessary public humiliation, why not ban school dances too? Those sting much worse than taking [...]

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Second wave.

Of the eighteen states with polling stations closing within the 8 — 8:59 PM Eastern window, the three we’re concerned about, of course, are Florida (29), Pennsylvania (20), and New Hampshire (4). As Allahpundit summed up in his handy-dandy Electoral Math Made Easy primer yesterday, winning Florida is basically a prerequisite for the Romney campaign; [...]

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270.

What follows will be old hat to most readers, who’ve been wargaming paths to 270 for six months now, but I’m thinking it might be useful to casual readers who are stopping by tonight and tomorrow because their interest in the election is peaking. Simple question: Which states does Romney need to win to clinch [...]

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Momentum shift?

NBC and the Wall Street Journal, in partnership with a few more final polls from some second-tier swing states that Barack Obama won in 2008 but might lose in 2012.  The Marist polls gives Obama some good news in Iowa, but warnings about New Hampshire and traditionally-safe Wisconsin.  All three polls suggest that momentum remains [...]

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Plan B.

New from Rasmussen, it’s the second poll in as many days showing Romney up two points in NH. Of the last eight polls taken in the state, he leads in four, is tied in two more, trails by a single point in another, and the last is an outlier. (Rasmussen’s last poll of NH, taken [...]

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Surge.

Yes, yes, I know, this comes from Kos’s pollster. What can I say? If the left can cling bitterly to Rasmussen as a bulwark against terrible numbers from Gallup, I can cling to this. RCP’s average already had New Hampshire within a point so the new PPP number there isn’t news. The Iowa number is. [...]

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"Live Free or Die"

Over the last week, eminent domain has been in the news as three California municipalities consider allowing Mortgage Resolution Partners to “seize and restructure mortgages.” This issue has made news across the country, including an op-ed from Congressman David Schweikart (R-AZ), with this summary from a Heritage Foundation Issue Brief: San Bernardino County’s reported attempt [...]

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Governors' Brawl

[Governor Rick] Perry “has no interest in fast-tracking any portion of this bankrupting and overreaching legislation,” deputy press secretary Josh Havens said. The court’s 5-4 decision upheld most of the controversial 2010 health care law, but gave opponents a minor victory when it ruled that states could decide whether to participate in the Medic­aid expansion [...]

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Bated breath.

According to SCOTUSBlog’s conversation this morning, we’re not expecting the actual ObamaCare decision until 10:15 am ET at least, so let’s focus on the horserace for that brief period.  NBC and Marist have teamed up to do some presidential polling in key swing states, which now includes … Michigan?  A succession of polls show that [...]

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Noise.

Second look at dog-eating? That’s the biggest lead he’s had against Romney dating back to last August. Follow the link and scroll down and you’ll see that it’s independents who are driving it, flipping from a 45/39 split in favor of Mitt 10 days ago to a 45/43 in favor of O. Gallup reasons that [...]

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You don't find any eggs if you're not looking

By this time, most of you have probably already seen the coverage of James O’Keefe’s attempts to infiltrate the New Hampshire primary and “sting” them in a demonstration of how voter fraud could occur. This may not have been the smartest approach, particularly for a person on parole, (Business Insider explains why this may result [...]

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New Hampshire Republicans were so not excited to vote that they set a new record for turnout.

According to Democratic National Committee Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz, it was a loss for Mitt Romney when he won Iowa and it was a loss for Mitt Romney when he won New Hampshire. But it’s not just that she thinks winning is losing that’s batty; it’s that she thinks both Iowa and New Hampshire provide [...]

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The dead aren't supposed to be able to vote?

Controversial conservative filmmaker James O’Keefe has pulled off a hit again. Yesterday, the sting operationist released video footage of New Hampshire poll workers handing out ballots in the names of deceased individuals — and folks sat up and took notice. The video was uploaded just yesterday, but already boasts 125,055 views. Among those who noticed [...]

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Questions.

Perhaps no other oxymoron got more use in my time in New Hampshire than this: “the Jon Huntsman surge.”  Huntsman bet everything on the Granite State and came up a distant third, despite having plenty of funding, covering the state in 175 appearances in six months, and rather notoriously insulting Iowans by claiming that they [...]

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"We got it done!"

He held 170 public events and still finished a distant third behind Ron Paul, whom no one — including Ron Paul — thinks is going to be the nominee. And yet he soldiers on, promising to give voters an electable option even though New Hampshirites have already crowned Romney the electable option in the field. [...]

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Endgame.

Here’s all you really need to know. From CNN’s table of exit poll data: Romney was the tea-party candidate, and not by a narrow margin either. (Fifty-one percent of voters called themselves TP supporters; among that group, Romney beat Paul by 18 points.) He also won Republicans by more than 30 points and finished a [...]

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Could she pull off a Eugene McCarthy moment?

Theoretically, Barack Obama is running unopposed for his party’s nomination for president in New Hampshire and across the country. In reality, he shares the ballot with at least eight others whose names are virtually unrecognizable. Now, though, a write-campaign for a lady whose name is familiar is also underway in New Hampshire, according to a [...]

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"Third or above would be fabulous."

Keep this in mind while looking at the results tonight. Rick Santorum’s state co-chairs Bill Cahill and Dan Tamburello aren’t trying to sell the idea that their candidate will shock the world with a win in the Granite State tonight. They concede that Romney will win, although they argue that the margin of victory will [...]

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Unstoppable?

Most of the polls close at 7 p.m. ET but a handful across the state will close at 8, so sit tight for returns. Three questions tonight. One, obviously: Will Romney underperform? There’s no shortage of benchmarks to choose from. The spin from the rest of the field will be that anything less than 40 [...]

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Roementum!

As part of his blitzkrieg tour of New Hampshire in the closing hours before the votes began being cast, our own Ed Morrissey sat down with oft overlooked GOP presidential candidate Buddy Roemer to catch up on the state of his efforts to capture the nomination. Buddy hasn’t been in a single debate yet, but [...]

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Suffolk predicts 20-point win, too.

Rasmussen took its last survey of the New Hampshire primary race on Sunday, and the results are … not terribly surprising, at least at the top.  As has been the case for weeks, Mitt Romney maintained his 2-1 lead over the nearest competitor, which continues to be Ron Paul, 37-17.  Jon Huntsman has moved up [...]

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Drums in the deep. It begins.

And away we go. After a year of munching popcorn, speculating, debating, yelling and sobbing, the first votes have been cast in an actual primary. And, as always, they took place in the stubborn little hamlets of Dixville Notch and Hart’s Location. (By the way… if you have to put the word “location” in the [...]

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2012 is not just about the White House.

Yesterday, I had the pleasure of meeting with Ovide Lamontagne, the one-time Tea Party favorite for the Senate seat that Kelly Ayotte eventually won. Lamontagne immediately endorsed Ayotte and campaigned for her after barely losing the primary in New Hampshire, which Ovide worried at the time would alienate his Tea Party followers. The opposite happened; [...]

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Dude?

A distant, distant, distant, distant second, but still second. Just think: There’s still a slim chance that instead of Romney we’ll nominate a guy who dreams of the day that the GOP will once again be “sane.” Two questions for you about the big vote tomorrow night. One: For strategic reasons, shouldn’t the Romney-haters be [...]

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Plus, guess who else has ties to the leveraged-buyout industry?

That’s a good question, especially since it turns out that one of them has financial ties to the very same leveraged-buyout industry he’s currently demonizing. Tim Pawlenty visited Radio Row at the Manchester Radisson and sat down with me for a few minutes to discuss the criticisms of Mitt Romney’s Bain Capital experience by Newt [...]

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