Nate Silver
May 2017

“the trend line heading into the Comey letter was bad enough…”

And don’t blame us for the Election Night surprise … mostly.

Oct 2016

“[E]xcept [Silver’s] lag by a week or two because he’s relying on public polls.”

Sep 2016
May 2016

Nate Silver ponders how he got Trump so wrong

Jazz Shaw May 18, 2016 4:01 PM

Numbers game

Sep 2015

“Poll-deflating feedback loop”?

May 2015

BBC: Polling council to open probe into #GE2015 surveys.

Jan 2015
Oct 2014

Skewing for fun and profit.

Sep 2014
Aug 2014

A repeat of 2010 not impossible.

Apr 2014
Mar 2014
Nov 2012

More questions than answers

Polling science, art and witchcraft Pt. 2

Jazz Shaw Nov 10, 2012 10:01 AM

Maths and the future

RCP poll averages predicted 49 of 50 states

Allahpundit Nov 07, 2012 3:22 PM

Results.

Aug 2012
May 2012

Oh my: Walker 54, Barrett 42 in Wisconsin

Allahpundit May 24, 2012 4:41 PM

Endgame?

Apr 2012

The poll to watch right now

Karl Apr 23, 2012 10:15 PM

Numbers.