Obama will have to poll better if Democrats want to retake the House in 2014
Polling shows that voters have much more negative feelings toward congressional Republicans than congressional Democrats. Postelection polls have shown Democrats ahead of Republicans on the generic ballot — which party’s candidate for the House would you vote for?
All but one of those polls was conducted by Scott Rasmussen, most of whose polls before the 2012 election showed the parties about even in the generic ballot. Rasmussen’s most recent survey shows the gap closing, but that’s just one poll and could be statistical noise.
So there’s a case to be made that the Democrats can win back the majority. But there’s also a case to be made that they can’t, or at least that it will be very hard.
The crux of that case is that the playing field favors the Republicans. Only 16 of the 234 House Republicans represent districts carried by Barack Obama.
Blowback
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Profundity at its finest.
davidk on February 18, 2013 at 2:46 PM
Ixnay with the polls
Geez
cmsinaz on February 18, 2013 at 2:48 PM
This will help with his polling: http://www.breitbart.com/Breitbart-TV/2013/02/18/Memo-From-Obama-Justice-Department-Gun-Control-Wont-Work-Without-Confiscation
Molon Labe.
davidk on February 18, 2013 at 2:52 PM
Yeah. Right. Pardon me if I don’t believe what any pundit has to say about the Democrats’ chances or Obama’s effect on them, if any. Not after November 6, 2012. I trust my own instincts at this point.
totherightofthem on February 18, 2013 at 2:56 PM
“Journolists Activate”(or whatever the kids say today:)
Clink on February 18, 2013 at 3:00 PM
Things will look very different in one year. Barone should just go away until then.
Mr. D on February 18, 2013 at 3:05 PM
I love Mr. Barone, but he, Rasmussen and Gallup have a lot to prove after the 2012 debacle.
DeathtotheSwiss on February 18, 2013 at 3:08 PM
Time to retire, old man. You didn’t have a clue before the election, and you’ve been too lazy to correct your mistakes.
sauldalinsky on February 18, 2013 at 3:08 PM
The generic polling is meaningless.
The same electorate that kept Comrade O in the WH elected a Republican House.
Dear Leader’s only objective in the next 21 months is to retake the House. He is incapable of compromise so he must have a majority in both Houses to advance his socialist agenda, which is all he cares about.
He knows only one way to do this. Avoid any and all blame for anything bad, while blaming it all on the GOP House. And mostly that is the job of his comrades in The Party and in the MSM propaganda machine.
That’s why he is relaxing now and enjoying being King.
After that he’ll start issuing proclamations and edicts, AKA Executive Orders, in an effort to entrench his Party’s apparatchiks in the steadily growing bureaucracy he is presiding over. Between that, metastasizing Obamacare, and hopefully replacing one of the five Supreme Court judges who have dared to defy him with his own hand picked puppet, he knows his legacy is assured. His impact on the US, what’s left of it that is, will be felt for generations. So the rest is all gravy.
farsighted on February 18, 2013 at 3:21 PM
And how many House Party members represent districts that voted for Romney?
Comrade O’s victory was based on one thing only, very large vote totals in key urban areas in key swing states.
Recall Dear Leader’s home town, the place where he learned all about politics and how to “win” elections.
farsighted on February 18, 2013 at 3:34 PM
Exactly — I will never listen to his predictions ever again.
KS Rex on February 18, 2013 at 5:03 PM