The current Republican majority in the House of Representatives, which owes its existence to the results of the 2010 elections, should not obscure what is happening around the country: The party is at risk of reverting to minority status.
If this happens, it would not mean that Republicans could never win elections — Dwight D. Eisenhower won the White House in 1952 and 1956 — and it certainly would not mean that the GOP can’t win the presidency in 2016. But it does suggest that — unless the party changes its current trajectory — Republican successes will depend primarily on Democratic failures.
The split in the GOP between “establishment conservatives,” who see compromise as a necessary part of government, and “anti- establishment conservatives,” for whom compromise is akin to caving in to opponents, obviously has damaged the party during the past four years. And there is no end in sight to the infighting…
Democrats start with an advantage with an age cohort that will participate in elections for the next 50 years and will be replacing older voters in the electorate — the most Romney age cohort in 2012 — over the next two decades.