A permanent Democratic majority? Unlikely
It’s going to be hard for other Democrats to replicate Obama’s coalition in 2014 and 2016. It’s not clear other Democrats can generate the turnout among blacks, Hispanics and young voters that he did.
And it’s pretty clear that under the Obama aegis, Democrats can not make the kind of gains in congressional races that they did in 2006 and 2008.
Back then Democratic strategists Rahm Emanuel and Charles Schumer fielded moderate-sounding candidates in Republican-leaning territory who were able to win because of discontent with the performance of George W. Bush. When his job approval fell below 40 percent, Republican candidates almost everywhere were hurt.
Democrats in 2014 will have to run as members of the party led by Barack Obama. That could be a hard sell in the 24 states and 228 congressional districts that he failed to carry in November.
Blowback
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The only reason why there won’t be a permanent Democrat majority is that the Looter State is doomed to collapse.
The fact that the out of control monster government leviathan is TOO EXPENSIVE for a balanced budget at these spending levels TO BE POSSIBLE given the ever weakening economy and the non viability of real spending cuts (because looters make the majority of the electorate and they aren’t going to vote themselves a cut) it can’t survive.
We’re running over a TRILLION dollars short every year. Already we’re past the point where that deficit can be BORROWED every year. Most of the bonds are being “bought” by the Fed using Dollars they print out of thin air. The unsustainability of this is, of course, obvious. As is the inevitable outcome: The Dollar will be recognized as WORTHLESS. This could happen at any time. The only reason it hasn’t ALREADY happened is too much wealth in the rest of the world depends on pretending that the Dollar is still a currency instead of Monopoly Money. In other words: they’re stuck. But this will only be a TEMPORARY thing as soon as enough of them can agree on another international currency OR put themselves on a Gold standard…
Not even Paul Ryan has any clue of the severity of the magnitude of this problem. They don’t have 10 years to “balance” the budget, which means the debt stops increasing. In 10 years they will have added at least another 10 TRILLION to the debt, even if they manage to stop adding any more by that time. It will be far too late.
The reality is they don’t have 10 years to balance the budget. They don’t even have 5. If in 10 years they haven’t not only balanced the budget but started SERIOUSLY paying down the debt they won’t be doing any such thing at all.
This is, of course, impossible in the current political climate. Campaigning on the kind of government shrink and cut in entitlements (REAL cuts, not reduction in growth) would be political suicide.
The year 2012 was a doomsday year in the sense that it was the year we learned the political climate in the United States has made it’s collapse INEVITABLE. We are Rome in the 450′s.
wildcat72 on January 28, 2013 at 9:26 PM
This is why it’s vitally important that we cave to Democrats now – first things first, by enrolling 20 million new voters. Otherwise Bobby Jindal and John Boehner will have to endure as many as 18 months listening to incredulous rhetorical questions at cocktail parties from people they believe are smarter than them.
HitNRun on January 28, 2013 at 9:35 PM
Romney 315 electoral votes? Unlikely.
Attila (Pillage Idiot) on January 28, 2013 at 9:39 PM
Actually, at this point, given the inefficacy of the Republicans to oppose, well, ANYTHING, that it might not make more sense to take a dive and do whatever we can to HASTEN it.
We’re not going to get any reform. The collapse (read what I wrote above)is inevitable and unavoidable at this point. The BEST possible outcome is to extract some part of the former United States AS a Constitutional Republic constructed from the lessons learned at this point.
Let it Burn! In fact, let’s help them stoke the flames.
Because in the end, who survives? Parasites? Hardly. Once they’ve eaten everything in the pantry even rats die. Those who produce will always survive.
wildcat72 on January 28, 2013 at 9:42 PM
I remember barone writing about a massive romney landslide.
Joey24007 on January 28, 2013 at 11:03 PM
We’ll see if these fundamentals are sufficient to overcome GOP ineptitude. I didn’t think that it would be sufficient to overcome Romney’s ineptitude in 2012; people like Barone did. I was right.
besser tot als rot on January 28, 2013 at 11:12 PM