Republicans will need a national wave to take back the Senate in 2014
That said, let’s recall that at this time two years ago, Republicans also had an attractive playing field: They had to defend only 10 seats, while Democrats had to defend 23. And yet Democrats actually ended up netting two seats. Not to be overly cruel, but the GOP had to try hard to blow the Senate in 2012 — and their efforts were amply rewarded.
In order to capitalize on the new opportunities presented by the 2014 Senate map, Republican voters are going to have to make wiser choices in primaries than they made in 2010 and 2012. But has the party base learned its lesson? It is not at all clear, and efforts by the Republican leadership in D.C. to impose preferred candidates likely won’t be met well in many states in the next go-round either. At the same time, national Republicans will somehow need to prod their major 2012 donors to stay in the game, convincing them that they will get more bang for their bucks in ’14 despite all the wasted cash this cycle.
Perhaps more than anything else, Republicans will need a national wave, along the lines of what they had in November 2010 when, despite candidate problems in some states, they netted six Senate seats (seven if one counts Scott Brown’s special election victory in January 2010). For a net six close races to tip to the GOP in two years, it will take more than good candidates and favorable geography; the atmospherics of 2014 will have to be clearly Republican.









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Says the guy who was 100% wrong about 2012.
portlandon on November 29, 2012 at 2:45 PM
MOAR AKINS!!1
Good Lt on November 29, 2012 at 2:45 PM
The propaganda and lies are too imbedded. Democrats are totally corrupt, lie blatantly and they still get elected. They run on virtually the same platform as the Communist Party USA and no one cares.
darwin on November 29, 2012 at 2:46 PM
The only thing that will create a wave election against democrats is for people to experience the full force of their policies.
darwin on November 29, 2012 at 2:47 PM
Simple – articulate – and correct – well said sir!
jake-the-goose on November 29, 2012 at 2:49 PM
Obamacare will have been implemented fully for nearly a year by the time of the 2014 midterms. Think that’ll help their electoral chances?
Doughboy on November 29, 2012 at 2:54 PM
I’m pretty sure that the only wave most Republicans will get will only involve a single extended finger.
RoadRunner on November 29, 2012 at 2:54 PM
The short story is that the USA is a center-left country.
In the worst economic “recovery”……when the unemployment is almost TWICE as when Obama took office………when his policies all relied on debt, debt, debt…….Obama still managed to pick up Additional Seats in the US Senate…..and topped 300 again in the electoral college winning re-election.
The US is a center-left country.
And the media (Yahoo News, CNN, all local TV stations) ran non-stop the 1 gaffle committed by Akin. And Akin’s gaffe was repeated later by Indiana Senate candidate Murdock, which led to non-stop media coverage of the same story over and over and over again.
Yet, Missouri and Indiana voted AGAINST Obama, but voters there elected Senators who will back Obama’s policies.
Go figure.
The media is part and parcel of the Center-Left wing paradigm of this country.
The Republican candidate is not permitted to make even 1 gaffle…..or else, he or she is “toast” and the media will repeat it for months.
We have seen this liberal media trend in every US Senate election (Montana and Virginia both in 2006, I think….GOP candidates said the wrong thing, and the media spread it non-stop).
Think about that for a second……the GOP even lost the North Dakota Senate Race????
In a year where voters are supposed to Punish the Incumbent Party due to the bad economy, supposedly “conservative” North Dakota elected a Democrat Senator who will support the policies of President Obama while at the same time voting against Obama for President?
Go figure.
This is a center-left country.
I am not suggesting that conservatives “throw in the towel and give up.” I am just saying the facts are facts….and the majority of voters do not care about limited government or constitutional restraints nowadays.
Our savior is more government, and the method is more spending.
56andwarmweather on November 29, 2012 at 2:55 PM
That and more Allens and Macks too.
And I don’t even know who we ran in ND and MT, which may be why we are losing Senate races in friggin MT and ND.
forest on November 29, 2012 at 2:57 PM
Full speed ahead comrade coprophagous ghoul!
tom daschle concerned on November 29, 2012 at 2:59 PM
Larry sabato needs a better toupe!
Danielvito on November 29, 2012 at 3:01 PM
And when I point out to people that the reason why they have Not experienced the full force of the Keynesian policies of President Obama is because of Debt, Debt, and more debt borrowing….due to China and other countries and entities purchasing our T-bonds….and also that USA citizens will have to repay that Debt back with interest……..then the conversation kinda ends, and people tend to get silent.
The silence is deafening.
We are a center-left country.
We look for the Federal Government to solve all our problems that we create..
The federal government is the savior, and the method is spending.
We really are a center-left country.
56andwarmweather on November 29, 2012 at 3:02 PM
Sums it up.
But if the Republicans offer zero difference between the two then we’ll lose. If we put up candidates that want to reach across the aisle and make bipartisanship the center piece of their campaigns and call Obama a nice guy, we’ll lose. Just like we should.
Republicans lose not because the Democrats are so special, but because we are so unwilling to fight. Democrats have gained more through Republican surrender than they have ever won through real battle. Both Bush’s gave up and handled over so much to the Democrats. The GOP congress did the same once they got rid of Newt. And we are where we are because of it.
JellyToast on November 29, 2012 at 3:05 PM
Actually, this is a very ignorant and deceived country. Liberal education, media and Hollywood have a done an excellent job of hiding who the left is and what they want. They’ve done an excellent job of lying about Republicans, success and those “evil rich”. They’ve done an excellent job of hiding and distorting American history to the point a rather large minority of people think socialism is a good thing.
Most people simply have no idea.
darwin on November 29, 2012 at 3:08 PM
No. I think people really need to see for themselves what the left has in store. ObamaCare is just the tip of the iceberg.
darwin on November 29, 2012 at 3:11 PM
We lack leadership. The people of this nation aren’t seeing that much difference between the two parties. Obama can’t be that bad of a guy when even his opponent says he’s nice.
You cannot say we are a center left nation when half the nation is ignorant of reality. And how do you educate the ignorant half? When you have the opportunity to do so! That’s where Romney blew it! The last 2 debates were horrible. He appeared to allow himself to be “caught lying” at the end of the 2nd debate and agreed with the President on nearly everything in the 3rd debate.
JellyToast on November 29, 2012 at 3:19 PM
Here’s an idea…let’s keep Romney on standby with his list of donors and voters and get live people on the phones in 2014 to get the vote out.
DeathtotheSwiss on November 29, 2012 at 3:21 PM
I’d be interested in hearing your take on why the GOP did so well earlier this month in the gubernatorial election cycle. To borrow a line from the Time article I linked to: “The party of Lincoln can boast that no GOP governor has lost a general election since 2007.”
My guess is while more and more people see federal $$$ as money coming from the suckers in the other 49 states, people are worried about what’s happening to their in-state money, and are far more likely to rebel at drunken sailor-like spending (unless you have the ego of some Californians, who continue spending like they have a 4.0 alcohol level in their blood and really do think the suckers in the other 49 states, prodded by President Obama, are going to bail them out so that all their government worker salaries, pensions and benefits will remain untouched).
jon1979 on November 29, 2012 at 3:36 PM
The GOP and forget it. Just quit. There is no point in doing what you have been doing GOP.
You are losers. You STINK!! You don’t deserve to ever win another election because you have forgot your roots.
You play the liberals game and they stomp you in the dust with it.
You never learn.
Axion on November 29, 2012 at 4:00 PM
Alright. So, let’s say that you want an exception for rape. Let’s also say a politician is true to his pro-life commitment, and is against an exception for rape. What honeyed words should that politician use in order to defend his position without everyone going apesh1t over it?
cptacek on November 29, 2012 at 4:01 PM
The sins of the father are not to be passed onto the son. A life is a life, no matter how it came into being. The child is innocent and the comfort of the mother does not supersede the right to life of the child.
Comfort is not a greater value to our society than life, at least it should not be. If we write a law that says that comfort is of greater import to us than the comfort of another, then we institutionalize this idea through our laws.
All laws are morals, all laws are morals.
astonerii on November 29, 2012 at 4:31 PM
astonerii on November 29, 2012 at 4:32 PM
We need a candidate with the killer instinct, who can go for the jugular when the opportunity arises. Someone who can talk around the corrupt media narrative and news blackouts. Romney was a nice guy. And as the saying goes….Nice guys finish last.
Red Creek on November 29, 2012 at 4:32 PM
Send in the Cuda…
ahlaphus on November 29, 2012 at 4:32 PM
Not bad. I might stop here, as our soundbite culture won’t let that many sentences play out:
cptacek on November 29, 2012 at 5:00 PM
Are you between the ages of 18 and retirement? Every abortion steals money from your future Social Security benefits.
astonerii on November 29, 2012 at 7:06 PM
I am 100% against all abortions. Are you giving me a way to talk about it, or are you confused and think I am not pro-life?
cptacek on November 29, 2012 at 7:17 PM
Talking point. A way to discuss it.
astonerii on November 29, 2012 at 7:23 PM
Your original question, explain how you can argue to someone that a rape victim should not be allowed to abort a child and not look like a monster.
astonerii on November 29, 2012 at 7:24 PM
7:06 statement…
My bad, that was more tongue in cheek joking, and not serious.
astonerii on November 29, 2012 at 7:25 PM
cptacek on November 29, 2012 at 7:35 PM