It’s starting to look a lot like 1937
– Fearsome attack on the status quo. In his first news conference on Nov. 14, Obama went out of his way to make clear his tax increases would fall on the rich: “What I’m concerned about is not finding ourselves in a situation where the wealthy aren’t paying more or aren’t paying as much as they should.”
Roosevelt was also ferocious, telling the old guard: “I should like to have it said of my first administration that in it the forces of selfishness and of lust for power met their match. I should like to have it said of my second administration that in it these forces met their master.”
When Roosevelt followed through in 1937, both with high taxes and his effort to pack the Supreme Court with more progressives, markets shivered.
– Fallout from first-term legislation. Obama signed his health-care act in 2010, postponing much of its enforcement until 2013, after the election. Now that the effects of the act are so proximate, markets are wondering whether they or investors can handle the changes demanded. Roosevelt’s equivalents were threefold: Social Security, the Wagner Act and a new Federal Reserve law, the Banking Act of 1935, all passed well before the election. The last law gave the Fed a new tool, the easy ability to order changes in reserve requirements for banks.
In all three cases, the full effects of the laws weren’t felt until after the election.









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Get out of dollar denominated assets.
JohnGalt23 on November 20, 2012 at 7:42 PM
We have nothing to fear, but … big government, itself.
Paul-Cincy on November 20, 2012 at 7:45 PM
And so, once the nation is weakened by years of Santa Clause polices perpetrated by the National Socialist Left, What happens next?
Chip on November 20, 2012 at 7:51 PM
This should be a hoot…!
Seven Percent Solution on November 20, 2012 at 7:52 PM
In case you missed it. From 2004:
FDR’s policies prolonged Depression by 7 years, UCLA economists calculate
INC on November 20, 2012 at 7:54 PM
Like 1937 … for Jews, too.
aunursa on November 20, 2012 at 7:58 PM
Everyone should read Ms.Shale’s book. It is excellent.
The Forgotten Man: A New History of the Great Depression
And Ms.Shale’s has book coming out in February entitled “Coolidge”
JPeterman on November 20, 2012 at 8:00 PM
I swear, sometimes I want to grab Obama voters by the collar and yell at them that they voted for four more years of Depression.
Count to 10 on November 20, 2012 at 8:11 PM
Hmmm…where’s all the Leftard Bootlickers standing up to this nonsense??
BigWyo on November 20, 2012 at 8:13 PM
And who did the Republicans run against the guy? Squishes like Wendell Willkie. How’d that work out for them?
Daemonocracy on November 20, 2012 at 8:18 PM
The rise of fascism in Europe.
A rising Asian power hungry for raw materials.
Economic turmoil and socialist policies in America.
Last time it was the British Empire standing on shaky ground, and now it’s the Pax Americana looking a little wobbly.
History does tend to rhyme on occasion.
sharrukin on November 20, 2012 at 8:18 PM
Or worse.
petefrt on November 20, 2012 at 8:23 PM
I thought this was going to be about the rise of fascism. Oh wait, it was…
Odysseus on November 20, 2012 at 8:40 PM
Chip on November 20, 2012 at 8:44 PM
Uhh, it has arisen. Question is, what do we do about it..?
affenhauer on November 20, 2012 at 8:59 PM
I looked up Willkie on Wikipedia and he kinda looks like Mitt Romney in a way. Perfect.
Dack Thrombosis on November 20, 2012 at 9:03 PM
Burning cities and marauding mobs.
single stack on November 20, 2012 at 9:08 PM
Of course in 1936 it was Alf Landon that was defeated on the GOP ticket.
Gingotts on November 20, 2012 at 9:13 PM
Cull the herd??
Excellent…..
BigWyo on November 20, 2012 at 9:15 PM
Right. Landon in 1936, Willkie in 1940, and Thomas Dewey in ’44 and ’48.
All three of them were RINO squishes too.
Dack Thrombosis on November 20, 2012 at 9:16 PM
Will the last billionaire to leave please kick the plug out.
OldEnglish on November 20, 2012 at 9:44 PM
Wasn’t Dewey kind of..errr…nuts??
BigWyo on November 20, 2012 at 9:46 PM
Amity Shlaes seems naive to believe Obama intends responsible budgeting, before events begin to support any such belief.
Marsili.us on November 20, 2012 at 11:11 PM