<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
		>
<channel>
	<title>Comments on: Why did Gallup&#8217;s presidential polls miss so badly?</title>
	<atom:link href="http://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2012/11/19/why-did-gallups-presidential-polls-miss-so-badly/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2012/11/19/why-did-gallups-presidential-polls-miss-so-badly/</link>
	<description>Headlines from the Hot Air authors</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 24 May 2013 15:18:25 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.5.1</generator>
	<item>
		<title>By: libfreeordie</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2012/11/19/why-did-gallups-presidential-polls-miss-so-badly/comment-page-1/#comment-2194448</link>
		<dc:creator>libfreeordie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2012 17:38:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/headlines/?p=229301#comment-2194448</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I keep seeing Rogue tomato claim that the entire election was rigged because of 141% voter participation in st. lucie Florida. But:

1. No one has ever linked to any proof of this
2. How does this explain the victories Obama earned in every other swing state.
3. How did GOP secretary of state offices allow for Obama cheating? Is the idea that they are somehow in on it too?
4. How did voter fraud happen in states that passed anti-voter fraud measures?
So far no one as answered this question.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I keep seeing Rogue tomato claim that the entire election was rigged because of 141% voter participation in st. lucie Florida. But:</p>
<p>1. No one has ever linked to any proof of this<br />
2. How does this explain the victories Obama earned in every other swing state.<br />
3. How did GOP secretary of state offices allow for Obama cheating? Is the idea that they are somehow in on it too?<br />
4. How did voter fraud happen in states that passed anti-voter fraud measures?<br />
So far no one as answered this question.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: IceCold</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2012/11/19/why-did-gallups-presidential-polls-miss-so-badly/comment-page-1/#comment-2194278</link>
		<dc:creator>IceCold</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2012 16:22:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/headlines/?p=229301#comment-2194278</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Not just Gallup, but Ras&#039; partisan self-ID surveys.  Those are among the most solid, methodologically, of any survey.  Largest sample of any (15,000+), robo-calls which exclude any &quot;human factors&quot; in response dynamics, and a &quot;questionnaire&quot; that cannot introduce distortion (you just push a number to self-identify partisan leanings or registration).

This survey produced consistently historical highs for R+ self-ID.  It was one of the first flashing lights that caught Barone&#039;s eye back in the summer.

Overall, it was the consistency of all the collateral survey benchmarks - presidential job approval, right track/wrong track number, unemployment rate, etc., ALONG with the objective partial data (voter registration, likely early voter partisan break-out, etc.), ALONG with all of the objective non-quantitative &quot;data&quot; (a DNC convention that was broke and bizarre, an incumbent who couldn&#039;t fill a large venue for going on 18 months, fund-raising totals, and a stunning contrast in apparent enthusiasm between the two campaigns) - that make the election results a stunner for anyone really watching closely.  

Barone is no wish-casting homer - in 2008 he was the first to identify key and novel factors that made him foresee a victory by the non-entity (youth vote finally mattering for the first time ever, for example).  Barone&#039;s call this time was aggressive, and based down to the smallest details on solid evidence and historical patterns that had never been defied.

It&#039;s the catastrophe of the country choosing decline and dishonor that matter, of course, not polling geekery, but this latest (final?) national disaster has a still completely unexplained basis.  I really want to see the hardest, best estimates on likely-GOP &quot;did not vote&quot; numbers, esp. in the Midwest.  This phenomenon is jaw-dropping in itself - if it was material to the outcome, the last tiny bit of light way down at the end of the tunnel is going to be extinguished.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Not just Gallup, but Ras&#8217; partisan self-ID surveys.  Those are among the most solid, methodologically, of any survey.  Largest sample of any (15,000+), robo-calls which exclude any &#8220;human factors&#8221; in response dynamics, and a &#8220;questionnaire&#8221; that cannot introduce distortion (you just push a number to self-identify partisan leanings or registration).</p>
<p>This survey produced consistently historical highs for R+ self-ID.  It was one of the first flashing lights that caught Barone&#8217;s eye back in the summer.</p>
<p>Overall, it was the consistency of all the collateral survey benchmarks &#8211; presidential job approval, right track/wrong track number, unemployment rate, etc., ALONG with the objective partial data (voter registration, likely early voter partisan break-out, etc.), ALONG with all of the objective non-quantitative &#8220;data&#8221; (a DNC convention that was broke and bizarre, an incumbent who couldn&#8217;t fill a large venue for going on 18 months, fund-raising totals, and a stunning contrast in apparent enthusiasm between the two campaigns) &#8211; that make the election results a stunner for anyone really watching closely.  </p>
<p>Barone is no wish-casting homer &#8211; in 2008 he was the first to identify key and novel factors that made him foresee a victory by the non-entity (youth vote finally mattering for the first time ever, for example).  Barone&#8217;s call this time was aggressive, and based down to the smallest details on solid evidence and historical patterns that had never been defied.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s the catastrophe of the country choosing decline and dishonor that matter, of course, not polling geekery, but this latest (final?) national disaster has a still completely unexplained basis.  I really want to see the hardest, best estimates on likely-GOP &#8220;did not vote&#8221; numbers, esp. in the Midwest.  This phenomenon is jaw-dropping in itself &#8211; if it was material to the outcome, the last tiny bit of light way down at the end of the tunnel is going to be extinguished.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Axion</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2012/11/19/why-did-gallups-presidential-polls-miss-so-badly/comment-page-1/#comment-2194212</link>
		<dc:creator>Axion</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2012 15:55:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/headlines/?p=229301#comment-2194212</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Because the poll didn&#039;t figure in Democrat voting FRAUD.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Because the poll didn&#8217;t figure in Democrat voting FRAUD.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: ahem</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2012/11/19/why-did-gallups-presidential-polls-miss-so-badly/comment-page-1/#comment-2194122</link>
		<dc:creator>ahem</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2012 14:44:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/headlines/?p=229301#comment-2194122</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;strong&gt;Fraud.&lt;/strong&gt;]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Fraud.</strong></p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: JellyToast</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2012/11/19/why-did-gallups-presidential-polls-miss-so-badly/comment-page-1/#comment-2194106</link>
		<dc:creator>JellyToast</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2012 14:32:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/headlines/?p=229301#comment-2194106</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Maybe because of fraud? No!

900 votes for the Democrat in a precinct with just 7 registered voters.
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/18/Allen-West-Seeks-Emergency-Hearing-After-Opponent-Declares-VIctory-When-FL-County-Misses-Sunday-Reporting-Deadline

If we don&#039;t confront Democrat voter fraud it&#039;s not going to matter anymore who votes or how great our candidate is. It is so obvious that real fraud was committed in several key states and yet we ignore it. Like it really didn&#039;t.. although we all know we&#039;ve read and heard about the stories before during and after.. we still pretend it didn&#039;t actually matter or make a difference.

If voter fraud doesn&#039;t matter then why are Democrats doing it? why did they throw Republican poll watchers out of the 59 precincts? Just for the fun of it? 

We are losing because we are not fighting.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Maybe because of fraud? No!</p>
<p>900 votes for the Democrat in a precinct with just 7 registered voters.<br />
<a href="http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/18/Allen-West-Seeks-Emergency-Hearing-After-Opponent-Declares-VIctory-When-FL-County-Misses-Sunday-Reporting-Deadline" rel="nofollow">http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/18/Allen-West-Seeks-Emergency-Hearing-After-Opponent-Declares-VIctory-When-FL-County-Misses-Sunday-Reporting-Deadline</a></p>
<p>If we don&#8217;t confront Democrat voter fraud it&#8217;s not going to matter anymore who votes or how great our candidate is. It is so obvious that real fraud was committed in several key states and yet we ignore it. Like it really didn&#8217;t.. although we all know we&#8217;ve read and heard about the stories before during and after.. we still pretend it didn&#8217;t actually matter or make a difference.</p>
<p>If voter fraud doesn&#8217;t matter then why are Democrats doing it? why did they throw Republican poll watchers out of the 59 precincts? Just for the fun of it? </p>
<p>We are losing because we are not fighting.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: triple</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2012/11/19/why-did-gallups-presidential-polls-miss-so-badly/comment-page-1/#comment-2194093</link>
		<dc:creator>triple</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2012 14:25:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/headlines/?p=229301#comment-2194093</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote&gt;Because hardly any respectable pollster expected a D+6 result on Election Day. I still don’t see how that happened unless there was A)massive voter fraud and/or B)a sizable chunk of the Republican base was stupid enough to stay home.

Doughboy on November 19, 2012 at 8:34 AM&lt;/blockquote&gt;

What if I told you... there are more democrats than republicans?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Because hardly any respectable pollster expected a D+6 result on Election Day. I still don’t see how that happened unless there was A)massive voter fraud and/or B)a sizable chunk of the Republican base was stupid enough to stay home.</p>
<p>Doughboy on November 19, 2012 at 8:34 AM</p></blockquote>
<p>What if I told you&#8230; there are more democrats than republicans?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: watertown</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2012/11/19/why-did-gallups-presidential-polls-miss-so-badly/comment-page-1/#comment-2194092</link>
		<dc:creator>watertown</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2012 14:25:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/headlines/?p=229301#comment-2194092</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I still think there was massive fraud. The only thing that was explained was something about double sided ballots or something.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I still think there was massive fraud. The only thing that was explained was something about double sided ballots or something.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: AngusMc</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2012/11/19/why-did-gallups-presidential-polls-miss-so-badly/comment-page-1/#comment-2194089</link>
		<dc:creator>AngusMc</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2012 14:23:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/headlines/?p=229301#comment-2194089</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Gallup&#039;s polls were horrible in 2008. This is nothing new.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gallup&#8217;s polls were horrible in 2008. This is nothing new.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Buddahpundit</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2012/11/19/why-did-gallups-presidential-polls-miss-so-badly/comment-page-1/#comment-2194082</link>
		<dc:creator>Buddahpundit</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2012 14:18:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/headlines/?p=229301#comment-2194082</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[They wanted to fire up the Democrats get out the vote effort and fabricated the sort of polling numbers that would best maximize the effort.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>They wanted to fire up the Democrats get out the vote effort and fabricated the sort of polling numbers that would best maximize the effort.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: forest</title>
		<link>http://hotair.com/headlines/archives/2012/11/19/why-did-gallups-presidential-polls-miss-so-badly/comment-page-1/#comment-2194077</link>
		<dc:creator>forest</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2012 14:13:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hotair.com/headlines/?p=229301#comment-2194077</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote&gt;Why did Gallup’s presidential polls miss so badly?&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Because they&#039;re racist.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Why did Gallup’s presidential polls miss so badly?</p></blockquote>
<p>Because they&#8217;re racist.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
</channel>
</rss>