It’s not just the demographics
What the party really needs, much more than a better identity-politics pitch, is an economic message that would appeal across demographic lines — reaching both downscale white voters turned off by Romney’s Bain Capital background and upwardly mobile Latino voters who don’t relate to the current G.O.P. fixation on upper-bracket tax cuts.
As the American Enterprise Institute’s Henry Olsen writes, it should be possible for Republicans to oppose an overweening and intrusive state while still recognizing that “government can give average people a hand up to achieve the American Dream.” It should be possible for the party to reform and streamline government while also addressing middle-class anxieties about wages, health care, education and more.
The good news is that such an agenda already exists, at least in embryonic form. Thanks to four years of intellectual ferment, Republicans seeking policy renewal have a host of thinkers and ideas to draw from: Luigi Zingales and Jim Pethokoukis on crony capitalism, Ramesh Ponnuru and Robert Stein on tax policy, Frederick Hess on education reform, James Capretta on alternatives to Obamacare, and many more.
The bad news is that unlike a pander on immigration, a new economic agenda probably wouldn’t be favorably received by the party’s big donors, who tend to be quite happy with the Republican Party’s current positioning.








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Immigration is something that needs to be dealt with.. Should have let Dubya take it off the table in 2007, m’kay. The ultimate pander isn’t immigration reform; it’s nominating the Cuban guy to pander to the Mexicans.
Illinidiva on November 11, 2012 at 11:05 AM
Thar be good sense in dem words.
Stoic Patriot on November 11, 2012 at 11:08 AM
Abolish the INS entirely then and let anyone vote as many times as they want.
We let the Mexicans decide our President anyway.
Why not the Chinese or anyone?
The Chinese at least don’t pleasure themselves dreaming of giving back 5 states to mexico.
harlekwin15 on November 11, 2012 at 11:09 AM
No not really.
Any government needing to devour more than 20% wealth to have is not worth having in my eyes.
get it?
We cannot coexist with these people across the aisle because brother it is NEVER ENOUGH they will always find a new money hole forever.
NEVER ENOUGH.
Ask barry what his bottom line price tag is for heaven on earth.
he won’t answer.
harlekwin15 on November 11, 2012 at 11:11 AM
Are the current big donors quite happy with the Republican Party’s current lack of electoral success? In four years an unchanged GOP will see the dems elect another POTUS. Is that what the donors want? They don’t want the Tea Party, they don’t want an new initiative on solving the debt and economic problems, they are OK with leaving minotities to the dems,and they’re okay with leaving white blue collars incentive to go bowling or watch Netflix every Election day. Were I a Dem strategist Id say, “Works for me.”
xkaydet65 on November 11, 2012 at 11:13 AM
Oh, I see. Here I’d thought all along it was Obama who has the fixation, even to the point where Jake Tapper points out the CBO findings:
Yeah, who cares about the difference of .1% in GDP growth and 200,000 jobs when you can implement fairness and spread the wealth around – or at least to the government?
Drained Brain on November 11, 2012 at 11:17 AM
What’s going to happen is this country is going to go to hell in the next 4 yrs and the dummies who voted for this idiot will vote republican.
Blake on November 11, 2012 at 11:17 AM
I agree that a populist reform-oriented tone might be beneficial now.
I don’t want us to be the party of New England patricians, political dynasties, entrenched Washington power, or Manhattan financiers anymore. I want us to be the party of the folks, upward social mobility, opportunity, and a commitment to limited government and devolved powers.
Palin did represent that more populist angle that was appealing (so much so the Democrats had to utterly destroy her.)
Oh, and while we’re at it: Let’s send all of these new immigrants up north and let them foot the bill.
Punchenko on November 11, 2012 at 11:20 AM
Until the system collapses through rampant money printing and inflation.
Seriously, this “messaging” kind of argument ignores the real debt and spending problems. Agreeing to more spending, or, even the maintenance of current spending is fiscally irresponsible. But propose cuts in spending and now you’re no longer for “giv[ing] average people a hand up to achieve the American Dream.” We’re borrowing/printing trillions of dollars to pay for current spending. GDP cannot grow fast enough to account for the spending.
Revenant on November 11, 2012 at 11:23 AM
Abolish (at least) 2/3 of all Federal offices and payrolls.
Shy Guy on November 11, 2012 at 11:25 AM
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/11/How-to-Win-in-Blue-State-America-Lessons-from-South-Africa-s-Opposition
Good advice from a Breitbart columnist on how to take on the left in Blue-State America
Wethal on November 11, 2012 at 11:25 AM
Giving in to what hispanics expect from government would mean ultimatly to establish South-American banana-republican political culture in our Republic. This catholicism based political tradition ruined souther Europe, South America and makes Massachusettes the most liberal state in the Union. Im really not surprised to see somebody like Douthat advocating this poison.
Valkyriepundit on November 11, 2012 at 11:29 AM
@Revenant: Agreed. As a practical matter it means adding another layer of bureaucracy in lieu of extorting any cooperation from the existing, entrenched one. Certainly nobody is going to fire the current crew en masse given such a temporizing attitude.
“Hands up” indeed.
Seth Halpern on November 11, 2012 at 11:38 AM
Can’t there be a middle ground where there is a path to legalization, but not to full citizenship? Maybe, these people can’t vote for X number of years until they have been more Americanized?
Donald Draper on November 11, 2012 at 11:39 AM
This is where Ross is wrong. And I hope the Republican establishment doesn’t join him in this.
It is about demographics. We need to face up to the reality, that Hispanics in huge numbers reject free enterprise economics and self-reliance. Blacks even more so. There are a tiny handful of exceptions, and God Bless them. But until we face the facts, that hating free market economics is deeply rooted in Hispanic culture, we are never going to be able to move forward and come up with a solution.
Look, they rejected Luis Fortuno in Puerto Rico. They voted Hugo Chavez over a good free market guy in Venezuela.
ericdondero on November 11, 2012 at 11:42 AM
The fact is that working-class and middle-class incomes have been stagnant for the last 30+ years. Until the GOP addresses that, the party will lose large numbers of otherwise-winnable working-class and middle-class votes.
Democrats don’t have the right solution to the problem, but they at least talk about the issue whereas the GOP does not.
AngusMc on November 11, 2012 at 11:43 AM
Providing a narrow path to legal permanent residence status with very limited eligibility for entitlements would be a start. No path to full citizenship for anyone who entered illegally as an adult or has an adult felony record in the US, except to return to their home country and apply through the currently existing process.
DarkCurrent on November 11, 2012 at 11:56 AM
Does anyone really think there is any hope of the country being intelligently, successfully, and lawfully (constitutionally) run again?
Is this idiot supposed to be a “centrist” or “conservative” lightweight – haven’t read columnists in many many years other these sorts of tidbits, so I can’t tell.
Let’s see. Hmmmm. How do we address middle class wage anxieties? Oh, right, we, uh ….. somehow magically alter economic realities and change, which completely drive such anxieties. Get back to me on your 5-point plan, Ross. Remember, middle class wages have only risen when a government program made it possible. Er – well, that’s actually never been part of the story, ever, but we’re smarter than previous generations, so we’ll just engineer it, somehow.
Health care. Oh, right, same solution. We’ll just, sort of, you know, “fix” it to make it cheaper. After all, it’s not a very heavily regulated market. So more manipulation and fixing by super-smart people with PhDs from Ivy League schools oughta do the trick. I mean, it’s not like competition, choice, innovation, and flexibility have ever produced lower costs – just look at air travel, or telecommunications, for example.
Education. Yep, we gotta fix that one too, to reassure those middle class folks fretting out there. Lessee – more money? I mean, spending two to three to four times the amount of money (in adjusted dollars) per pupil – compared to when performance was much better – is obviously not enough. It’s not like widely distributed and systemic factors like a decline in standards, expectations, discipline, along with destruction of public service through unionization, added to the erosion and politicization of curricula, all on top of social dynamics starting at the family level are the roots of the problem. Nope. We’ll just change “messaging” to soothe those poor widdle middle class anxieties.
Of course there are simple, obvious things that would address all the “anxieties” listed. But they rarely involve more govt. spending or regulation – almost always the opposite. But in our cretinized, race-based, economically illiterate, dependency-addled electorate, these obvious options would hardly even be understood any more.
But hey, Europe approves of our presidential choice!
IceCold on November 11, 2012 at 11:57 AM
On a side note, the Eurozone just plunged into another recession because of their unsustainable, economy-choking, Progressive welfare state. And we just reelected a party who wants to emulate Europe.
Forward!
visions on November 11, 2012 at 12:10 PM
DarkCurrent, you are obviously an intelligent commenter, based on your contributions, but step back for a second on the illegal immigration thing.
Do you think any “solution”, however cleverly crafted, would “solve” anything? As in, decrease the inflow of illegals, who in turn would produce a problem to be “solved” yet again down the road?
Incentives are the only thing that matters, on the practical side. I worked in the Senate on Simpson-Mazzoli when it passed in ’86. Even then, many skeptics were correctly grousing that the most likely outcome was exactly what happened. Massive, massive continuing influx, along with a farcical inability to actually administer the “amnesty” provisions in a serious manner.
Any “solution” that appeals to people’s sense of wizardry in public policy would automatically and unavoidably become a failure, for the familiar reasons, unless it is a serious solution. That involves physically closing the southern border and making eVerify ubiquitous and real as a barrier to illegal employment.
Of course the subsitution of racist lawlessness for rule of law is implicit, already, in state law and federal practice. Ya think I could apply to get a refund of all the processing money to get my wife into the country, and then get my state to give her “illegal” in-state tuition if she ends up going to the state college? We can’t get back the 8 months in time it will likely take for the process, but hey we’re hardy souls and can take one for the team.
Ya know, sometimes, it’s almost like we don’t live in a serious country any more.
IceCold on November 11, 2012 at 12:10 PM
I agree with that. Let’s add it to my proposal.
DarkCurrent on November 11, 2012 at 12:30 PM
Really?
Ladysmith CulchaVulcha on November 11, 2012 at 12:45 PM
DarkCurrent, those two elements are the only important thing, practically speaking.
The rest of your proposal, or the issues addressed, could be reworked or done a zillion different ways, to accommodate everyone’s varying sense of god-like justice and cleverness. None of these zillion variations would avoid capriciousness and gross unfairness (ha! an actual meaningful, accurate use of the word “fairness”!!) unless all existing legal immigration processes were summarily ended with blanket approvals/visas, with all fees refunded.
And even then, the lawlessness and reactive nature of it all – reacting to the reality created when rule of law is suspended for convenience, out of laziness, racism, or fear – cannot be hidden.
But f**k it all, anyway. I now view everything in race-based terms (since people are insisting on it, against my natural and life-long pattern), and the law is just something to beat, not to respect.
IceCold on November 11, 2012 at 12:48 PM
Oh, and I forgot one gem that this idiot (apparently) Douthat belched up: focus on upper-bracket tax cuts.
Just how ignorant, and stupid, is this jackass (rhetorical question)?
Ross, who pays the taxes? Right – overwhelming, and wildly disproportionate, share paid by the top 15%.
Hey! Let’s cut federal income taxes for the poor, and lower-middle class! What – huh? They don’t pay any? Um, OK. Then let’s cut taxes for the middle class! What? They pay a very small share of the total, and any real cuts would add them to the 50% who don’t pay taxes already? Hmmm, darn.
I guess Ross doesn’t wonder why the verminous dominant party in the US doesn’t push federal income tax cuts for the poor and lower-middle class – uh, Ross, because all those evil tax cuts for “the rich” going back to Reagan increasingly exempted lower income brackets from any tax at all.
Oh, happy Veterans’ Day! (could there be any more sickening, or unintentionally ironic, salutation at this point?)
IceCold on November 11, 2012 at 12:54 PM
Yep.
It has not been abolished but it has been rejiggered.
Capitalist Hog on November 11, 2012 at 1:05 PM
Yeah, and it’s called “Dem-lite” the supposed answer every time the GOP loses an election.
No thanks!
Difficultas_Est_Imperium on November 11, 2012 at 1:28 PM
Maybe a good place to start would be for folks to stop writing BS like this. We don’t have a fixation on upper level tax cuts, we have a fixation on liberty. That includes those filthy upper class people.
Funny, I thought Reagan took it off the table in 1986. Oops.
xblade on November 11, 2012 at 1:56 PM
The GOP needs to focus on treating Hispanics as individuals instead of members of some amorphous group. What we call Hispanics are really individuals who have come to America from a vast number of countries, who don’t identify with each other any more than those who came to America from Europe. A person who immigrated to the US from Argentina has more in common with those of use who are descendants of European immigrants than they have with Mexican immigrants.
The message is simple: The left wants to lump you into a group and assume that you are no different than everyone else who came to America from an area covering two continents, we see you as individuals who came to America in seek of opportunity, and to make a better life for you children. Unfortunately the policies of the left are crushing the very opportunities you risked coming to this country for. They want to turn America into what you tried to leave behind.
HarryBackside on November 11, 2012 at 2:12 PM
Yup, it’s called a green card.
HarryBackside on November 11, 2012 at 2:15 PM