Between the possibility of recounts, provisional ballot problems and lawsuits, there’s no shortage of scary vote-counting scenarios that threaten to push the election outcome beyond Nov. 6.

Most of the scenarios, of course, are contingent on a tight race where the result comes down to one, or just a few highly competitive states. And that’s exactly the election the polls are suggesting. …

Recounts

The rules and thresholds differ from state to state, but if the difference between President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney is 0.5 percent in any one of them, that tends to be recount territory.

It’s a minuscule figure, which is why there are so few actual statewide recounts. But Virginia, according to its RealClearPolitics polling average, is within currently within its recount window, and Florida is just a one percentage point outside its own.