State by state: How Romney will win tomorrow
Colorado
Colorado will be a comfortable win for Romney of three to four points. The early voting has been a reversal from 2008, with Republicans outnumbering Democrats. As is the case in most states, supporters of Romney in Colorado are more likely to be Election Day voters, which will cement a win for Romney.
Iowa
Early voting here has been much better for Republicans than it was four years ago, though they are still behind. It is going to be a very, very close state on Election Day, but Romney can overcome the early-voting deficit here. Winning Iowa opens up the map for Romney a lot, and this is going to be a big win on Tuesday for Romney…
Ohio
The keystone of the whole election is Ohio. If Romney wins the state, it’s almost impossible for him to lose the election. If he loses here, he’ll need to pull together a few other tough states to win. The polls have not shown a consistent lead for Romney the entire campaign, but I still believe Romney will win Ohio. The early voting looks substantially different than it did in 2008, which will cut into the margins Obama needs before we get to the in-person voting on Tuesday. I’ve gone over this state countless times, and my overall feeling has not changed — Romney is going to take Ohio, and with it the election.
Blowback
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From your keyboard to God’s retinas…
DavidW on November 5, 2012 at 9:05 PM
Mitt will also be getting some help from the youth vote. They will be too busy playing Halo 4 to go out and vote for Obama.
nobar on November 5, 2012 at 9:07 PM
I have no idea who Josh Jordan is, but I’m willing to believe him.
BettyRuth on November 5, 2012 at 9:08 PM
will the networks call this thing before 11pm ET, that’s the big question
gatorboy on November 5, 2012 at 9:08 PM
Ugh, My heart can’t take election night!
LurkerDood on November 5, 2012 at 9:09 PM
@NumbersMuncher on twitter, excellent poll analysis.
runner on November 5, 2012 at 9:12 PM
I don’t see Romney taking Iowa, but I do see him winning with nearly 300. He’ll take Ohio, Colorado, and Wisconsin, and that’s all he needs. But I think he’ll get Virginia and Nevada too.
beatcanvas on November 5, 2012 at 9:13 PM
Changing back to standard time just before the election was not a good idea…
Wethal on November 5, 2012 at 9:18 PM
Except for my son who will be playing Halo 4 AFTER voting for Romney!
Elizabetty on November 5, 2012 at 9:19 PM
My 3 young( but adult kids) are all voting Romney.
CW on November 5, 2012 at 9:26 PM
Yep. Been saying this for weeks.
3-4 points is actually conservative, I think Romney wins CO 53-47.
Norwegian on November 5, 2012 at 9:26 PM
I have been saying this all along and ill say it again. Mitt Romney will win Ohio. It will not be close either, at least 5%. If Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are truly within %5 that means Ohio is already in Romney’s column.
Rocks on November 5, 2012 at 9:27 PM
Not unless Romney takes Massachusetts or something. I think the networks will never call it prior to the polls closing in California again. But I think it will be obvious none the less.
Rocks on November 5, 2012 at 9:29 PM
Hey, you folks think you’re done handicapping the race for us?
What about the weather conditions!
Dusty on November 5, 2012 at 9:30 PM
Wrong. As usual. For starters, thinking CO is going to go 100% in favor of one Obamney is retarded. 2, it’ll shape up more like 48/47 (who can say which Robama is which), with 4 points for Johnson and 1 for Stein.
Daikokuco on November 5, 2012 at 9:30 PM
davidk predicts:
Romney takes all but IL, the left coast, and HI, but it will be close in at least IL. CT too close to call.
Romney for the landslide. Too big a win to challenge.
Riots. Keep a clear head.
davidk on November 5, 2012 at 9:44 PM
I doubt it. OH, VA, maybe FL and a few others, will be very close.
changer1701 on November 5, 2012 at 9:44 PM
A bus load of high school kids asked me who I was voting for. I told them. They weren’t thrilled.
davidk on November 5, 2012 at 9:47 PM
I meant NH too close to call Not CT.
davidk on November 5, 2012 at 9:50 PM
I checked a couple of days ago. Sunny everywhere that counts…
JohnGalt23 on November 5, 2012 at 9:59 PM
Delusional Paultard loser.
jawkneemusic on November 5, 2012 at 10:02 PM
Where in my post did I mention Ron Paul? Illiterate transplant tool. Can you even read a poll?
And don’t tell me you don’t care about polls, because the last 4 weeks on this site have been fueled by drooling clowns like you grasping desperately at every “bogus” poll that shows Mittens “up by one in ____”. Transplants… aka trash.
Daikokuco on November 5, 2012 at 10:19 PM
LMAO
Unfortunately for you, Johnson wont get past 1% and Amendment 64 will be voted down.
Norwegian on November 5, 2012 at 10:28 PM