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Jay Cost

The state of the race, four weeks out

Another point where Trende was spot on: Team Obama is running a bandwagon campaign. In fact, it has been running such a thing since it won the Iowa Caucus all the way back in early 2008. The idea is to convince the country that Obama is a sure winner – so why not jump on board? Thus, the president and his team have tried to create news at the exact moment the race begins to settle back into a tie. That explains perfectly the timing of the attacks on Romney – Bain Capital, tax returns, and the “47 percent” comment – all meant to inflate Obama’s numbers artificially above the rough 47-47 tie we should be seeing.

What that means is that conservatives should be on guard for Team Obama to try to get the bandwagon moving again – be it through some artificial scandal or just working their contacts in the press to get good coverage for the incumbent. This is, after all, in its very nature; Team Obama must hate the fact that, as of the end of the day yesterday, it was actually down in the national head-to-head polls.

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The genie is out of the bottle…
You can’t close Pandora’s Box….
You can’t unring a bell…
A preference cascade can’t be pushed back up.
It’s over. It always was over. It was just a matter of time.

Rocks on October 10, 2012 at 8:15 PM

You can’t tug on Superman’s cape.

WeekendAtBernankes on October 10, 2012 at 8:18 PM

be it through some artificial scandal or just working their contacts in the press to get good coverage for the incumbent.

I’m amazed at how they can turn anything Romney says, or doesn’t say, into a scandal. When asked about any problems in the London Olympics, he replied. He said the Palestinians are the obstacle to peace. He said it’s hard to make the tax cut argument to those who don’t pay taxes. He didn’t hug his garbageman, for goodness sake.

Paul-Cincy on October 10, 2012 at 8:19 PM

I’m amazed at how they can turn anything Romney says, or doesn’t say, into a scandal. When asked about any problems in the London Olympics, he replied. He said the Palestinians are the obstacle to peace. He said it’s hard to make the tax cut argument to those who don’t pay taxes. He didn’t hug his garbageman, for goodness sake.

Paul-Cincy on October 10, 2012 at 8:19 PM

This is the press equivalent of crying wolf. They are desperate, and people aren’t falling for their molehills-to-mountains attempts. In fact, people will be turned off by continued weak attempts and this will likely backfire on the press.

fossten on October 10, 2012 at 8:24 PM

Team Obama is running a bandwagon campaign.

Spot on.

But after the debate, the world gasps that the emperor has no clothes. The world sees the clothes have no emperor. Empty chair. Empty suit.

Wheels fell off the bandwagon. Tsk tsk.

petefrt on October 10, 2012 at 8:25 PM

This is the press equivalent of crying wolf. They are desperate, and people aren’t falling for their molehills-to-mountains attempts. In fact, people will be turned off by continued weak attempts and this will likely backfire on the press.

fossten on October 10, 2012 at 8:24 PM

I don’t know what Obama’s got, beyond his sneering, derisive, arrogant attitude towards those who disagree with him. That, and borrowing money and giving it away. That’s a lot, I guess.

Paul-Cincy on October 10, 2012 at 8:30 PM

I think the bandwagon has lost a wheel or three.

Rational Thought on October 10, 2012 at 8:31 PM

During the Florida recount in 2000, the Gore strategy was to pull ahead by a few votes in some version of the count and then stop the recount and declare victory. If they had been able to do that, the media would have gone along.

Sort of the reverse of the Obama strategy.

Attila (Pillage Idiot) on October 10, 2012 at 8:38 PM

You can’t spit into the wind

jaime on October 10, 2012 at 8:38 PM

Obama is one wheel short of a wagon.

jaime on October 10, 2012 at 8:39 PM

Too bad the bandwagon has the engine of a Chevy Volt.

thirtypundit on October 10, 2012 at 8:46 PM

You don’t pull the mask off that old Lone Ranger.

kakypat on October 10, 2012 at 8:46 PM

And you don’t mess around with Mitt!

Bouncing Beatnik on October 10, 2012 at 8:50 PM

WeekendAtBernankes on October 10, 2012 at 8:18 PM

jaime on October 10, 2012 at 8:38 PM

Bouncing Beatnik on October 10, 2012 at 8:50 PM

^ 5

kakypat on October 10, 2012 at 8:54 PM

The press will cover for him and root for him the whole way.

And if he loses, the crying will begin.

The Rogue Tomato on October 10, 2012 at 9:02 PM

Well Romney won’t loose for not trying. In Reno, NV in a liberal area I have had three Republican groups at my door asking if I need an absentee ballot. Plus at least one a day in the mail. They are using the voter registrations and asking by name.

I have never seen anything like that before.

BullShooterAsInElk on October 10, 2012 at 9:09 PM