The disparity in these numbers and their trends are so broad that even the cautionary method of adding them all together and averaging them out — best done by the Real Clear Politics “poll of polls” — makes little sense.
After an election season lasting 14 months, which saw Herman Cain and Michele Bachmann and Newt Gingrich serially seduced into fantasizing they might win a GOP nomination they never ever would have, we go into the final month with no reason to trust that these surveys are capturing anything other than a close race.
Pollsters themselves, when challenged on their stats, say they’re just presenting a snapshot of public opinion. Fine, but these snapshots are wildly distorted.
The key hidden fact is that fewer than one in 10 respond to those who try to poll them.