Patrick Ishmael
The twenty House races you should be watching
Whether Republicans do make gains will depend in no small part on these 20 races. …
The bad news? A majority of these twenty races constitute what is effectively an exposed Republican seat.
The good news? First, Republicans hold a 3 seat advantage in races that fall outside these 20 most competitive races; by my count, 9 seats are primed to be flipped by Republicans, compared to 6 seats for the Democrats. I’m comfortable saying this because in 2010, when races ended up outside the 57%-43% band, the seats very rarely changed hands. Republicans, then, start off with a roughly 3 seat advantage before we get to these 20 races.
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One of the anti-Cravaack ads:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RePjCVnx4eo
(note the “experts,” like Stephanie Cutter, speaking)
RBMN on October 3, 2012 at 9:55 AM
Patrick, you didn’t include FL 23 in your chart.
Karen Harrington is giving Debbie Whatshername Schultz a run for her money. Of course, it is in deep blue Broward County, so one can expect some hanky panky from Little Debbie.
Flora Duh on October 3, 2012 at 9:55 AM
Watch Sean Bialat, running against an inexperienced Kennedy family grandchild.
This is for the redistricted former Barney Frank district which now has more suburban voters, who voted for Scott Brown in the past when he was at the State House.
http://www.seanforcongress.com/meet_sean
Fleuries on October 3, 2012 at 10:58 AM