Rasmussen
Poll: Obama leads Romney by four, job approval highest in 18 months
This is the president’s biggest lead over Romney among Likely Voters since March 17. See daily tracking history. Obama’s convention bounce is evident both in the head-to-head numbers with Romney and in his Job Approval ratings (see below)…
A president’s job approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s job approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 52% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president’s job performance. That’s his highest approval rating in more than a year-and-a-half, since January 2011.
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I would really like to hear their answer to that one. Buggles my mind.
Don’t blame me, I wanted Santorum.
Can.I.be.in.the.middle on September 9, 2012 at 3:30 PM
Yes.
Terrye on September 9, 2012 at 3:31 PM
You are delusional…and I am beginning to think you are a moby….are the Democrats paying you?
Terrye on September 9, 2012 at 3:32 PM
Woohoo… Now that is conservative! Quick, insure my house, it has a preexisting condition of being burned to the ground!
Republicans, Socialists. Yet you wonder why I will not give them my vote?
astonerii on September 9, 2012 at 3:33 PM
Santorum voted for the same kinds of programs that people like bigibbs are complaining about…there is a big difference between Rick’s rhetoric and his voting record.
Terrye on September 9, 2012 at 3:34 PM
Romney going left just leaves that much more room for the democrats to move further left and still not look like the radicals they are. Empowering socialism!
astonerii on September 9, 2012 at 3:35 PM
So, if Romney loses it’s the fault of the TruCons and ABRs?
BoxHead1 on September 9, 2012 at 3:35 PM
Socialist? Really? Allowing states to create high risk pools for people with pre existing conditions is not socialism and most people do not see it as socialism. Only a fanatical fringe dweller would.
But hey, by all means sit home on your ass and let Obama win because you can not get just what you want when you want it.
Terrye on September 9, 2012 at 3:37 PM
moby…you want to vote libertarian go ahead..that is how Obama got Indiana in 2008, the libertarians handed it to him. Conservatives are not libertarians.
Terrye on September 9, 2012 at 3:38 PM
They sure as hell did not help.
Terrye on September 9, 2012 at 3:40 PM
How can you have a house with pre-existing condition of being burned down? You clearly don’t understand what that means do you.
cpaulus on September 9, 2012 at 3:41 PM
That is why I never jumped on the Santorum bandwagon, I like Newt. he actually does have a record of reducing the size of government. Welfare reform!
astonerii on September 9, 2012 at 3:42 PM
Allowing states… What stops them?
astonerii on September 9, 2012 at 3:43 PM
An entire wing at Tampa General Hospital has just been shut down.
/Obamacares
Key West Reader on September 9, 2012 at 3:46 PM
I bought a house, I did not insure the house, but when it burns to the ground, it now has a preexisting condition of being burned down and I want to insure it against being burned down or if not insured against it, I want OTHER PEOPLE TO PAY FOR IT.
What part of that do you not understand?
astonerii on September 9, 2012 at 3:46 PM
All of you who are moaning “we’re doooooomed!” remind me of my six year old when he doesn’t get what he wants. Concern is one thing, trying to convince the rest of us that Romney is a tragic mistake is another. Operation Demoralize, indeed.
It matters not if you are an Obot troll, are resigned to an Obama win and won’t vote, or think blowing up the whole deal is the way to go and will vote for a third party. In the end it is the same soup in a different bowl.
And if any of you wish to move to Canada depending on the outcome of the election, please don’t! Our P.M. is slowly cutting taxes, slowly nudging us to the right. You will find it too painfully deliberate and plodding for the immediate gratification you seek.
Mitsouko on September 9, 2012 at 3:47 PM
What will be different with Romneycare?
astonerii on September 9, 2012 at 3:47 PM
You are a nice guy, but you obviously want Obama to win so that you can build your utopia on the ruins of what was once called the United States of America.
Gelsomina on September 9, 2012 at 3:48 PM
Cuts both ways sugar… We’re doomed if Obama is re-elected must remind you of your 6 year old.
Republicans, The party of fear mongering.
Republicans, Preservative since 2012, preserving the failed socialist policies of the past for future generations.
astonerii on September 9, 2012 at 3:50 PM
This pisses me off to no end. So the guy claims you murdered somebody’s wife, who says you cheated on your taxes, who bankrupts your grandchildren, leaks national security secrets, insults the foundation of American capitalism and entrepreneurialism by saying individuals “didn’t build that”, etc etc etc etc… is a “nice guy” huh. While he and the media and the democrats HAMMER you into being thought of as pure evil. Welp, good strategy bro. Pathetic. Just think, Romney essentially attacked Gingrich harder than Obama, never ever said he was a nice guy. The idea that you have to refrain from telling people they made a TERRIBLE decision by voting for Obama so that they ..uh ..somehow turn away from him and to you who is portrayed as evil by the media and dems. For what reason, if you don’t give them the Many that exist.
Braveheart on September 9, 2012 at 3:51 PM
The kind of high risk pool that the Republicans have been talking about for years would be used by states to allow them to help people in their states who have lost coverage and have a medical condition to either keep their coverage or afford new coverage. It is something that can exist apart from Obamacare. There are some programs like this but not all states have the resources. In fact, I think that 35 states already do have plans for high risk pools..it is not socialism.
Terrye on September 9, 2012 at 3:52 PM
Better to be a man who does what is needed rather than a man who pushes it off onto his offspring.
The republican party, preserving failed socialist policies for generations to come. Vote for us, we can make the next generation pay for your opulent wasteful living!
astonerii on September 9, 2012 at 3:52 PM
Ok, so you don’t know what a pre-existing cndtion is.
That’s not a pre-existing condition. That’s a condition, like a broken arm. A pre-existing condition is something chronic that leads to future problems. The closest you can get in your silly analogy would be a sinking foundation, though, of course, that can be fixed, unlike something like asthma, which can be treated but not cured.
cpaulus on September 9, 2012 at 3:52 PM
Yes Santorum would have been no better. Mitt’s all we got, I get that. I just don’t think Mitt gets what he needs to do to win this thing.
bgibbs1000 on September 9, 2012 at 3:52 PM
Libertarians are the best thing that ever happened to Democrats…
Terrye on September 9, 2012 at 3:54 PM
HAH HAH OMGWAFLMYA!
A broken arm is not a pre-existing condition? It is if it is broken when you apply for insurance. Just like being pregnant is. Just like having a headache or booboo on your finger. The insurance company is not going to cover the costs for those already existing at the time of application conditions. What a moron!
astonerii on September 9, 2012 at 3:55 PM
No, the acceptance of the welfare state is. But they are close to the best thing that happened to them. I am not a libertarian.
astonerii on September 9, 2012 at 3:56 PM
ObamaCare stops them. That’s why Romney wants to repeal it. Duh.
Gelsomina on September 9, 2012 at 3:56 PM
The race is really just beginning. I know it seems like it has gone on forever, but these people are all over the place in these polls..just look at the last couple of weeks.
Terrye on September 9, 2012 at 3:57 PM
Okay, going to give my analysis.
First off, the fact that Gallop and Rassmussen show largely the same thing should be a big clue to people that Rassmussen isn’t doing a good job filtering out unlikely voters. Additionally, I had a small peak at Rassmussens internals a few days ago, and they’re making many of the same overoptimistic assumptions in Obama’s favor that many other pollsters are. They’re assuming the same turnout among African Americans as in 2008, same turnout among hispanics as in 2008, etc etc and so on and so forth.
Then you have the fact that as of today 1/3rd of the polling is coming off a Saturday. Weekend polling favors democrats, democrats deny this but I’ve been looking at polls for a long long LONG time, and weekends consistently produce more favorable polling for democrats than polls taken in the middle of the week.
All of this taken together means, that even after the democratic convention, the race is still very close. In fact I wouldn’t be surprised if Romney still had a slim lead in reality.
Tomorrow will likely should Obama doing one point better, but after that the polling should start to narrow again. This is because by then we’ll be getting out of weekend polling, and because there should be some gradual fade of Obama’s convention bump as time goes on.
I won’t pretend that I’m, “happy,” that Obama got a bump, but its far from time to panic. It just means that the two candidates have traded places again, and they’ve done that several times already this year.
PS: Rasmussen headline is a bit misleading here. They showed Obama with 52% approval briefly in August. As far as approval goes, they’ve actually been one of the more generous pollsters during the past few months.
WolvenOne on September 9, 2012 at 3:57 PM
A friend of mine had cancer and got laid off from her job and her insurance was through her job…her cancer was gone, but it was still a big deal for her to get insurance and it cost a lot..and I am not bad mouthing insurance companies either..but the issue is not a broken arm. There are all sorts of conditions from hypertension to urinary tract infections that can be included in pre existing conditions.
Terrye on September 9, 2012 at 3:59 PM
Yes, i understand that you want to take a literal definition of the term, but of couse, in the real world where medical definitions are actually defined, a broken arm is not a pre-existing condition and certainy not defined by that in the way its used in the Republican bills related to the issue. See, bills in congress have defined termslike pre-existing condition in them. They aren’t literal terms.
cpaulus on September 9, 2012 at 4:01 PM
Oh, you destroy the US so that your offspring doesnt’ have to do it. Okey dokey.
Gelsomina on September 9, 2012 at 4:02 PM
http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2012/09/09/flashback-dukakis-led-bush-17-points-after-1988-dnc#ixzz25zjOeOgV
astonerii: Not a Romney fan either. But you are over the top.
1. Lesser of two evils, etc.
2. Change is gradual, etc.
Plus there are other issues than public debt, that are just as important, or frankly, more important.
“Do it for the children” isn’t any more convincing when it comes from the right, than when it comes from the left.
Good luck convincing the majority of Americans who are, say, forty and over that they have been living a “wasteful, opulent lifestyle”, that is somehow being funded by their children.
Dreadnought on September 9, 2012 at 4:03 PM
The real story isn’t that Obama is ahead in the polls. It’s that Obama even has any chance at all of being re-elected.
This is the worst economic “recovery” in history. Workforce participation is at historic lows. The US debt has surpassed $16 trillion. America is, quite simply, facing economic disaster.
Obama has broken every promise he’s made, including his very first “symbolic” promise to close Guantanamo Bay. The same people who protested waterboarding now have no qualms about the assassination-by-drone of US citizens. The same people who fetishize an old photo of a Vietnamese girl burned by a napalm attack have no qualms about innocent Pakistani women and children killed by current US drone attacks.
Left is right. Up is down. And the US has always been at war with Oceania.
People get the governments they deserve.
Maybe America really does deserve Obama.
The Resolute Desk on September 9, 2012 at 4:03 PM
I looked at RCP and Rasmussen has Obama’s approval rating at 49…the average is 47.8. Is the 52 one day or what?
Terrye on September 9, 2012 at 4:05 PM
Right, its not a literal term meaning anything currently wrong with you at the moment. It’s never meant that. Cancer is a perfect example, it’s not cured it’s put in remission. The example you used is why we need to get away from employer connected health insurance.
cpaulus on September 9, 2012 at 4:09 PM
Astonerii, please don’t call me sugar, it makes me feel slimed. My main point was that polls are not elections. Interesting that you took offense to my “six year old” comment.
I do in fact think the U.S. situation will be grim if Obama is re-elected, which is why I don’t understand your reason for undercutting Romney at every opportunity. As I said, whether you vote for Obama or against Romney, it is the same soup in a different bowl.
Mitsouko on September 9, 2012 at 4:10 PM
RCP may be slow to update its polls.
Also, I don’t really follow RCP anymore. They’ve developed a tendency to omit polling that favors Romney. Alternately, they sometimes keep polls that favor democrats in their calculations for months.
It may not be liberal bias, but RCP is definitely trying to manipulate their averages.
WolvenOne on September 9, 2012 at 4:16 PM
You sound sincere so let me just ask you to suspend an assumption and make another for a minute.
First, drop the idea that the ego of “ABR True Cons” is bigger than anyone else’s, that it’s not just trash talk from disagreements.
Second, assume that our financial and political trajectory is so horrendous that it will take policies much more extreme than what Ryan has promoted to delay our collapse for more than a year or two on top of the year or two that we have left under Obama.
Now, Why vote for Romney/Ryan when it’s all going to collapse in two to four years under their administration? So that it’s Romney rather than Obama ruling under martial law? For SCOTUS seats or a strong foreign policy?
If you believe that a collapse is inevitable with the current candidates, the whole political battlefield radically changes, and it has to be gamed very differently. You question if it’s better to have a collapse under a so called conservative of a system that almost collapsed under another “conservative” (and was then almost fundamentally transformed by a progressive) or if it’s just better for it to go down under Obama’s second term with him trying to sell more-Obamanomics to the American people as the model for reconstruction?
Some think having Obama as pilot when Fabian socialist steer America onto the rocks will likely be the best scenario for victory. We think that another Supreme Court justice is secondary and that we may not even have the ability to bring our troups home, much less fight a foreign war. Don’t agree? Fine. Debate it civilly. But don’t assume that we’re childish, ignorant or haven’t thought this through.
elfman on September 9, 2012 at 4:28 PM
Honestly I cannot believe some of the chicken littles on here…of course Obama is going to get a small post convention bounce…duh….and this will be his peak ….
The last two months, the polls have generally shown Romney with a one point lead….that will return soon…
Folks, the economy is not going to improve…Obama will still lose…and yes it will be close but he will lose nonetheless…
Granted, Romney for most of us is hardly a wonderful candidate but please remember, anyone is better then Obama…
Albertanator on September 9, 2012 at 4:45 PM
Everyone Here knew that no matter what the Democrat convention looked, like, and it was pretty horrible, the media was going to pronounce it a stellar success and produce media pundits and phony push polls to try to convince YOU to give up.
And there are some people here, who should have spent the weekend at the beach or at a picnic. Me I am having margaritas in the garden, shortly, and spent the day walking in a park. I feel great. Romney is going to win by a landslide.
We can produce polls that say that the moon is made of green cheese.
Fleuries on September 9, 2012 at 5:12 PM
BS
If you’re not insured and your house burns down it’s on you. Period.
If you don’t buy flood insurance and your house is drowned, it’s on you.
There are private markets for flood insurance. But there is also a federal insurance program (which is cheaper but they’re raising their rates in Florida because the private insurers can’t compete). If you have purchased neither and your house is destroyed by flood, it’s on you.
That’s the difference between flood and fire insurance and Obamacare. The pools for pre-existing conditions that R’s propose is through the PRIVATE MARKET which puts it in line with flood and fire.
MaggiePoo on September 9, 2012 at 8:01 PM
@astonerii
The Libertarian vice-presidential candidate from the last election left the party and is voting for Romney. He said it’s for his children and business and that re-electing Obama would be a disaster.
What makes you better or smarter than him?
MaggiePoo on September 9, 2012 at 8:03 PM
Good grief. If you think the rhetoric about the financial crash blaming R policies is bad now, wait until your scenario unfolds. If Obama wins it will be because people believe Obama’s version and they’ll believe even more if he’s the demagogue in chief when/if it happens.
MaggiePoo on September 9, 2012 at 8:08 PM
We have a difference of opinion. Second Obama term, five years + later and our financial system fails and has to be reset under Obama with tens of millions losing their savings? You take the job convincing America it’s Bush’s fault. Good luck.
elfman on September 9, 2012 at 9:50 PM
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