Green Room

Chart of the Day: Does trust in Congress rely on Senate GOP levels?

posted at 11:35 am on January 27, 2014 by

My friend Jeff Dobbs at The Voice In My Head pinged me after reading my post earlier on the WaPo/ABC poll with some data on public trust in Congress and the number of Republicans in the Senate. His data stopped after 2010, though, and I asked him to see if his correlation still held up. Well, Jeff has checked the numbers, and it still does:

vimh-senate-control

This is evidence of correlation, not causation … but it’s an intriguing correlation. Be sure to read Jeff’s post for the explanations of methodology.

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On a similar note, it is very eye-opening when you shift from analyzing economic data in terms of which political party held the Presidency, to analyzing economic data in terms of which political party held a majority (2+ out of 3) of the House, Senate, and Presidency.

Republicans held the majority from January 3, 1995 to January 3, 2007, and were responsible for the Fiscal Year 1996-2007 budgets.

Democrats have held the majority from January 3, 2007 to present, and are responsible for the Fiscal Year 2008-2014 budgets (or lack thereof).

The last GOP-majority budget, passed in 2006 for FY 2007, featured a deficit of less than $161 Billion.

When the balance of power shifted from Republican to Democrat on 1/3/2007, the Total Public Debt Outstanding was $8,677,214,255,313.07

In just seven years, Democrat majorities have increased the Total Public Debt Outstanding by 99%!

When the balance of power shifted from Republican to Democrat on 1/3/2007, the Employment-Population Ratio was 63.4%. Democrats drove that into ditch and have left it sitting in the ditch for well over 4 years. The Employment-Population Ratio has now been at or below 58.7% for the last 52 consecutive months!

ITguy on January 27, 2014 at 12:29 PM

There’s more correlation in this chart than ANYTHING the globull warmers have.

dentarthurdent on January 27, 2014 at 12:57 PM

I saw a similar chart a number of years back that showed a strong correlation between the number of sunspots and the number of Republicans in the Senate.

You can correlate almost anything to anything – does it mean anything? is the question…

sultanp on January 27, 2014 at 3:07 PM

You can correlate almost anything to anything – does it mean anything? is the question…

sultanp on January 27, 2014 at 3:07 PM

It can be quite useful: you can show (for instance) that the city hall clock striking 12 causes a bus to come!!

landlines on January 27, 2014 at 4:57 PM

I like the message, but remember that “Congressional approval” accounts for the Senate and the House while the graph only shows the Senate majority.

To really show something, the graph – or one similar – has to show both.

kurtzz3 on January 28, 2014 at 11:37 AM