Green Room

Despite loss, Lonegan weakened Booker; Christie leads by 29 in new poll

posted at 1:02 pm on October 18, 2013 by

The indefatigable Phil Kerpen — who worked tirelessly to help elect Steve Lonegan as New Jersey’s next US Senator — notes that although Lonegan’s hard-charging campaign fell short, it really dinged up Senator-elect Cory Booker’s image:

Booker has long been discussed as a golden-boy/rising star within the Democratic ranks, yet his victory on Wednesday failed to impress.  That he failed to trounce an under-funded, highly ideological opponent suggests that Booker may not be all he’s cracked up to be (beyond, of course, the obvious evidence of his fabulist lore).  The people of Newark have known about their former mayor’s overrated status for some time.  Kerpen also points out that Democrats’ get-out-the-vote fliers failed to even name the party’s candidate in the race:

Lonegan should be commended for running a hard, unapologetic race.  Alas, the Democratic machine and blue brand in New Jersey pulled Booker over the finish line, despite abysmally low turnout.  Meanwhile in the Garden State, a new Q-poll shows Gov. Chris Christie waltzing to victory over tax-and-spend liberal Barbara Buono.  Christie leads by 29 points overall (with Buono only attracting one-third of the vote), own as 20-point lead among women, and enjoys a +32 personal favorability rating.

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Shee-it, that’s all we could ask for, short of a Lonegan victory. This I think is why they have been indulging Christie so much. The idea here is to make sure all viable D candidates for 2016 are old and white. Melowese Richardson would likely not have voted all six times for a white Democrat. Most metro areas are only about fifty percent the central city itself. If the Meloweses stick to only voting two or three times, that’s a lot fewer suburban votes they cancel out.

Sekhmet on October 18, 2013 at 1:27 PM

Cory Booker’s own weirdness and poor campaign skills were mostly to blame for his mediocre showing. But it is nice to see the halo tarnished. Democrats who thought he was The One have been brought back to Earth.

What’s really going to be interesting is to see if Booker follows through on his promise to be independent and not always toe the party line. He could be a real thorn in Harry Reid’s side, and he could really shake things up by endorsing Christie in 2016.

rockmom on October 18, 2013 at 1:33 PM

Would have been nice if there was a little more time for Lonegan to make his move eh? And having a popular Republican at the top of the ticket would have been nice as well – might have provided some coattails. Ah, well. Christie’s personal ambitions are much, much more important than federal policy that effects us all.

besser tot als rot on October 18, 2013 at 1:39 PM

Let Lonegan run against Booker again for the full term. And maybe actually give him some damn support. He got outspent 10 to 1! Where the hell was Christy? Where the hell was the Republican Establishment? They should’ve fought for this seat. This is why the Tea Party is pissed.

Iblis on October 18, 2013 at 1:46 PM

Where the hell was Christy? Where the hell was the Republican Establishment? They should’ve fought for this seat. This is why the Tea Party is pissed.

Iblis on October 18, 2013 at 1:46 PM

I’m from Jersey and I will tell you that Christie was not going to lift a finger for Lonegan. I think the fat man is basically as thin skinned as the current resident of the White House and Lonegan was one of his (more conservative) challengers for the Republican nomination for governor. If Christie isn’t making the effort then neither will the Republican Establishment because Christie and the Republican Establishement are the same thing. We have another election in two weeks and it was Christie’s decision to hold this “speciak election” instead of putting it on the ballot in November. Basically Christie is happier with a Booker win than a Lonegan win.

DaveDief on October 18, 2013 at 1:58 PM

What’s really going to be interesting is to see if Booker follows through on his promise to be independent and not always toe the party line. He could be a real thorn in Harry Reid’s side, and he could really shake things up by endorsing Christie in 2016.

rockmom on October 18, 2013 at 1:33 PM

You should be a comedian.

NotCoach on October 18, 2013 at 2:14 PM

What helped the Most in Lonegan’s Tarnishing of Booker?

Sarah Palin.

williamg on October 18, 2013 at 2:49 PM

What helped the Most in Lonegan’s Tarnishing of Booker?

Sarah Palin.

williamg on October 18, 2013 at 2:49 PM

Boo-yah! That’s our girl.

Turtle317 on October 18, 2013 at 2:55 PM

Alas, the Democratic machine and blue brand in New Jersey pulled Booker over the finish line, despite abysmally low turnout.

True, though you also left out the lack of support by “big-tent” Republicans such as Christie, the national GOP infrastructure, etc.

It’s a broken record, but I’ll spin it around yet again- all those voices decrying a lack of “unity” in the party, urging conservatives to support centrist candidates, etc. might get a bit more cooperation if they’d practice what their own sermons say when the candidate on the ballot is a tad too “red” for their comfort level…

cs89 on October 18, 2013 at 2:59 PM

I’m from Jersey and I will tell you that Christie was not going to lift a finger for Lonegan.

DaveDief on October 18, 2013 at 1:58 PM

I hope you’re voting for Buono. I would.

besser tot als rot on October 18, 2013 at 3:03 PM

True, though you also left out the lack of support by “big-tent” Republicans such as Christie, the national GOP infrastructure, etc.

cs89 on October 18, 2013 at 2:59 PM

Well, Lonegan is in the tent. He’s just in the part where conservatives are supposed to be licking clean the boots of our statist overlords. He tried to leave that part of the tent and must be shunned.

besser tot als rot on October 18, 2013 at 3:06 PM

Kerpen also points out that Democrats’ get-out-the-vote fliers failed to even name the party’s candidate in the race:

Why would they? They know Dem voters are sheep, so it doesn’t matter who was on the ballot.

changer1701 on October 18, 2013 at 3:06 PM

Lonegan was quite effusive in his praise for Christie in his concession speech:

“He thanked Governor Chris Christie for his ‘bookend support’ from his endorsement to robo calls. Lonegan said he couldn’t expect anymore from Christie, ‘other than putting up lawn signs, and the thought of Christie running up and down the highway putting up lawn signs…’”

Just sayin’. I’m sure Lonegan, the candidate himself, knows more than all of us.

GOPRanknFile on October 18, 2013 at 3:22 PM

Just sayin’. I’m sure Lonegan, the candidate himself, knows more than all of us.

GOPRanknFile on October 18, 2013 at 3:22 PM

It’s called being the bigger man. Figuratively, of course.

besser tot als rot on October 18, 2013 at 3:42 PM

It’s called being the bigger man. Figuratively, of course.

besser tot als rot on October 18, 2013 at 3:42 PM

Yeah, I’m sure that’s what it was. It couldn’t possibly be the truth, could it?

GOPRanknFile on October 18, 2013 at 3:53 PM

Yeah, shame on Chris Christie for not wanting to be on the same ballot in November with the popular black mayor of Newark.

There hasn’t been a Republican Senator from New Jersey since 1972, and that one was a bona fide Rockefeller Republican. If Democrats could have run the dead Frank Lautenberg, they would have and he would have won.

rockmom on October 18, 2013 at 3:54 PM

Yeah, shame on Chris Christie for not wanting to be on the same ballot in November with the popular black mayor of Newark.

There hasn’t been a Republican Senator from New Jersey since 1972, and that one was a bona fide Rockefeller Republican. If Democrats could have run the dead Frank Lautenberg, they would have and he would have won.

rockmom on October 18, 2013 at 3:54 PM

He’s not afraid he’d lose. He’s afraid of hurting his margin. So, he hurt the national party and cost the taxpayers for his own personal ambitions – and, likely, for a marginal, at best, benefit. So, yes. Shame on him.

And, good to know that you’re a master at conjecture. Got any stock tips?

besser tot als rot on October 18, 2013 at 4:15 PM

Yeah, I’m sure that’s what it was. It couldn’t possibly be the truth, could it?

GOPRanknFile on October 18, 2013 at 3:53 PM

Actually, it couldn’t be. It is well known what Christie did and did not do.

besser tot als rot on October 18, 2013 at 4:16 PM

Actually, it couldn’t be. It is well known what Christie did and did not do.

besser tot als rot on October 18, 2013 at 4:16 PM

I’m not particularly sure why, but I think I’ll go with the candidate himself on this one instead of some outsider.

GOPRanknFile on October 18, 2013 at 4:25 PM

So if Christie or the GOP had actually helped, he may have won. And spared the country the eventual Obama part 2 presidency. Awesome.

Jack_Burton on October 18, 2013 at 4:58 PM

Kerpen also points out that Democrats’ get-out-the-vote fliers failed to even name the party’s candidate in the race:

Had they done so, they would have had to file that as an in-kind contribution to Booker to the FEC.

Steve Eggleston on October 18, 2013 at 5:27 PM

I’m not particularly sure why, but I think I’ll go with the candidate himself on this one instead of some outsider.

GOPRanknFile on October 18, 2013 at 4:25 PM

How cute. You believe what politicians say. You’re adorable.

besser tot als rot on October 18, 2013 at 6:02 PM

How cute. You believe what politicians say. You’re adorable.

besser tot als rot on October 18, 2013 at 6:02 PM

Almost as adorable as you believing that Lonegan went out of his way to make Christie look good when he had absolutely no reason to do so.

He could have just simply said, “I thank Governor Christie for his support.” But he didn’t. He went beyond that, which leads me to believe that he’s probably telling the truth.

GOPRanknFile on October 18, 2013 at 6:18 PM

Those Camden, Trenton and Newark ministers got plenty of walking around money from the Booker campaign. I don’t doubt there are new church air conditioning units being spec-Ed out, new church vans and lots of retreats being booked for March in the Bahamas. That’s the Democrat way here in Jersey.

MTF on October 18, 2013 at 7:11 PM

Would have been nice if there was a little more time for Lonegan to make his move eh? And having a popular Republican at the top of the ticket would have been nice as well – might have provided some coattails. Ah, well. Christie’s personal ambitions are much, much more important than federal policy that effects us all.

besser tot als rot on October 18, 2013 at 1:39 PM

i disagree with your point.

Democrat voters don’t show up for special elections in the middle of the week, but they’ll show up in droves for the November election. You are right in one respect: Christie has plenty of Democrat support in this state (see Union County for example) , but you are way wrong to assume that support translates to Lonegan. If Lonegan had run on the November ballot he would have lost by 15 or more points, or worse.

MTF on October 18, 2013 at 7:18 PM

The problem with all of this is how much Booker won in Newark where he avoids like the plague. Were those people voting for Booker in order to get him out as mayor or was the image of him as an unpopular leader over-represented?

Someone school me on this.

DTTS on October 18, 2013 at 9:58 PM

you are way wrong to assume that support translates to Lonegan. If Lonegan had run on the November ballot he would have lost by 15 or more points, or worse.

MTF on October 18, 2013 at 7:18 PM

I assumed no such thing. I merely suggested that it was a possibility. Which it is. I put his odds at winning while on the ballot with Christie (especially if Christie had done anything to publicly campaign for him) as better than without. You don’t. Fine. But pretending that your conjecture is fact is ridiculous.

besser tot als rot on October 18, 2013 at 10:45 PM

In a sane world, Obama would have been run out in the primaries. “Tarnished” means nothing in democrat national politics.

tdarrington on October 19, 2013 at 9:44 AM

Booker will be senator for life if wants to be and Christie will either continue getting with the program or pay the consequences. Either way, a Sen. Christie would be no better for the country than a Sen. Booker or for that part a Pres. Booker vs a Pres. Christie. More of the same.

erp on October 19, 2013 at 11:25 AM

When does Booker’s Senate term end, is it next year or 2016?

Iblis on October 19, 2013 at 3:41 PM

Yeah, I’m sure that’s what it was. It couldn’t possibly be the truth, could it?

GOPRanknFile on October 18, 2013 at 3:53 PM

How much campaigning did Christie do with Lonegan? Were their campaigns symbolically joined as one despite different election dates?

I wasn’t following the race because I figured Lonegan would lose, but with Christie up over 20 points, there is far more he could have done than “bookend” support. Holding the special election on the same day seems like it would have helped Lonegan while saving taxpayer money.

Daemonocracy on October 19, 2013 at 3:53 PM

How much campaigning did Christie do with Lonegan? Were their campaigns symbolically joined as one despite different election dates?

I’m not entirely sure how much campaigning he actually did with Lonegan, but based on what Lonegan has said, he was happy with the way Christie supported him.

I wasn’t following the race because I figured Lonegan would lose, but with Christie up over 20 points, there is far more he could have done than “bookend” support. Holding the special election on the same day seems like it would have helped Lonegan while saving taxpayer money.

Daemonocracy on October 19, 2013 at 3:53 PM

I actually don’t think this would have been the case. In fact, there’s a good chance Lonegan would have lost by a greater margin. The fact that it was a special election and it was a foregone conclusion that Booker would win rather easily probably helped Lonegan. I don’t think those dynamics would have been as strong if their elections were held on the same day in November, where there would have been a greater turnout.

GOPRanknFile on October 19, 2013 at 10:56 PM

If what you’re saying is that Lonegan lowered the expectations about Booker a smidge, OK. Now Booker has the MSM to protect him and he has little worry about. Aside from that the Senate remains that same hellhole it was, with Democrats in charge and Republicans not gaining. No improvement means no strategy. NO strategy means no leadership. No Leadership means no winning.

bflat879 on October 19, 2013 at 11:48 PM

“He thanked Governor Chris Christie for his ‘bookend support’ from his endorsement to robo calls. Lonegan said he couldn’t expect anymore from Christie, ‘other than putting up lawn signs, and the thought of Christie running up and down the highway putting up lawn signs…’”

Just sayin’. I’m sure Lonegan, the candidate himself, knows more than all of us.

GOPRanknFile on October 18, 2013 at 3:22 PM

Then you don’t know jack. I live in NJ and Christie did the bare minimum for Lonegan. The GOPe did even less.

I hope you’re voting for Buono. I would.

besser tot als rot on October 18, 2013 at 3:03 PM

That’s an interesting idea. I was just going to sit out the election, for the first time ever, but that might be a good idea, if only to reduce his margin of victory.

njrob on October 20, 2013 at 2:11 PM

There hasn’t been a Republican Senator from New Jersey since 1972, and that one was a bona fide Rockefeller Republican. If Democrats could have run the dead Frank Lautenberg, they would have and he would have won.

rockmom on October 18, 2013 at 3:54 PM

You forget how Lautenturd got back into office in the first place. The criminal Torrecelli was going down and a Republican would’ve been elected Senator. Then the criminal NJ courts ignored State law and changed the rules allowing the leftists to handpick a replacement in Lautenturd.

But keep up the BS.

njrob on October 20, 2013 at 2:13 PM

Then you don’t know jack. I live in NJ and Christie did the bare minimum for Lonegan. The GOPe did even less.

I suspect we both know less than Lonegan.

GOPRanknFile on October 20, 2013 at 2:40 PM

I suspect we both know less than Lonegan.

GOPRanknFile on October 20, 2013 at 2:40 PM

One of us has organized for Lonegan and talked to him. The other is full of ish.

njrob on October 20, 2013 at 3:35 PM

One of us has organized for Lonegan and talked to him. The other is full of ish.

njrob on October 20, 2013 at 3:35 PM

One of you has organized for Lonegan. The other is Lonegan.

GOPRanknFile on October 20, 2013 at 3:39 PM

Despite loss, Lonegan weakened Booker; Christie leads by 29 in new poll

Just what a RINO would say. A RINO might even say something similar about Marxist care.

bgibbs1000 on October 20, 2013 at 6:23 PM

Boo-yah! That’s our girl.

Turtle317 on October 18, 2013 at 2:55 PM

No. As much as I like our girl, that ain’t it. Lonegan simply shined the light of day on Booker’s mental illness. The BS about the drug dealer and his imaginary friend, the hilarious videos of black Newark residents laughing about Booker’s fraudulent address in Newark, etc.

They hate that liar. Nothing to do with Palin.

Jaibones on October 20, 2013 at 8:08 PM

One of you has organized for Lonegan. The other is Lonegan.

GOPRanknFile on October 20, 2013 at 3:39 PM

Come to one of our meetings sometime. Then you can ask Lonegan personally.

njrob on October 21, 2013 at 12:54 PM

Come to one of our meetings sometime. Then you can ask Lonegan personally.

njrob on October 21, 2013 at 12:54 PM

I’ll get right on that. Surely, you’re not claiming Lonegan was being dishonest in his concession speech, are you?

GOPRanknFile on October 21, 2013 at 3:44 PM

I’ll get right on that. Surely, you’re not claiming Lonegan was being dishonest in his concession speech, are you?

GOPRanknFile on October 21, 2013 at 3:44 PM

He was being polite and trying to show some unity. Too bad when conservatives show unity it’s never returned by the GOPe.

njrob on October 22, 2013 at 12:39 AM