Green Room

A no-show problem?

posted at 2:01 pm on December 5, 2012 by

Salena Zito writes about the demographic detail from the election that seems to have gotten overlooked — and which is impacting both parties:

Our political parties have an alarming problem with white middle-class voters.

Both parties failed to connect with them in this presidential election — from rural voters in the Midwest, Plains and Allegheny Mountains to Iowa’s “Reagan Democrats” (who did not show up for Republican Mitt Romney), as well as along the Appalachian Trail from New York to Mississippi (which rejected Democrat Barack Obama).

Many pundits point to high turnout by minorities and young people as the key component of Obama’s victory.

But Sean Trende, an analyst at RealClearPolitics, points to a problem that flew under the radar: White voters did not turn out, and they did not turn out in significant numbers.

There was a gap of about 7 million voters in this category from 2008.  Perhaps the tenor of the campaign ended up turning them off, or maybe the GOTV efforts from both parties overlooked them.  Be sure to read the whole thing.

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As intended, Ed.

Steve Eggleston on December 5, 2012 at 2:11 PM

The base GOTV faltered.
I am going to go out on a limb and say that there are hundreds of thousands if not a couple million people like me in this nation. I typically bring along between 16 at the low end to 32 at the high end of my family members to the polls. Not physically, but I coax them into voting, and it is not easy to do. I also talk to coworkers and get them to turn out instead of staying home. This election I completely skipped this aspect. I was pretty certain I was not even going to vote, until the last 4 weeks. Even then it was grudgingly.

Take 500,000 people like me, figure each turning out 15 people because they are enthusiastic about the candidate or at least his “Read My Lips” level pledge for policy and you get 7.5 million more votes.

500,000 people like me is 1% of the Republican vote. We told you during the primary you would not get the base. If you do not get the base, you do not get the base’ coattails.

Run a conservative, and if you cannot do that, then force the progressive to make as many “Read My Lips, Cut, Cap & Balance, You can take that to the bank” pledges as you can. Do not let him run as democrat light!

astonerii on December 5, 2012 at 2:22 PM

astonerii on December 5, 2012 at 2:22 PM

Yep. Maybe, they were turned off by being offered a choice between fascism and socialism, instead of a choice between fascism and freedom.

GWB on December 5, 2012 at 3:18 PM