Green Room

Romney won young white voters

posted at 12:01 pm on November 9, 2012 by

AP’s already picked through the gruesome national exit polling from Tuesday.  I’d like to highlight one additional piece of data that is especially interesting: According to CNN’s figures, Mitt Romney actually won white Millenials (18-29 year olds) by seven points, 51-44, despite losing the broader demographic by 23 points.  (McCain lost young voters by 35 points in 2008).  Virtually all of Romney’s gains within this age bracket came from young whites.  He got absolutely demolished by young people of color; losing young Hispanics by 51 points, and young blacks by 83 points.  The specific age breakdown of Asian voters isn’t available, but Asians broke 3-to-1 for Obama overall, so an approximate extrapolation isn’t particularly difficult.  The demographic implications of Tuesday’s results are becoming increasingly obvious: Republicans simply cannot win elections without dramatically improving their standing and image among non-whites.  If they don’t, they’ll quite literally lose the future.

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Virtually all of Romney’s gains within this age bracket came from young whites. He got absolutely demolished by young people of color; losing young Hispanics by 51 points, and young blacks by 83 points.

this is interesting. If I’m reading right it means Romney drew 17% of the young black vote and 49% of the young Hispanic vote. That is HUGE. If true, it marks a big potential shift in voting patterns that can be capitalized on and more importantly it means that a significant number of black and hispanic youth are willing to buck the ‘tradition’ of voting for Democrats and even vote against a Black man to do so.

theblackcommenter on November 9, 2012 at 4:22 PM

When they say that republicans sat this out, hold off on deciding why that is, because if the MSM is telling you that, what is there motive?

And if it is people in red states telling you that, the thing is, that in most of the states Romney won, he HAD no less than 55% of the vote, more like 60-70% of the vote. Those who stayed home, in a red state for something not being picky enough to their liking, who don’t care, say about the Supreme Court, or beefing up the win for their state republican senator, a la Mourdock or Akin? should we reward those people who didn’t show up when they had a candidate that they had a duty to make a choice on? They are not patriots, sorry. They can only be whiners, I don’t know if I believe what I am hearing, and wondering from whence it comes.

Conversely, I am POSITIVE Romney’s loss has nothing to do with Hispanics or Amnesty. A MEDIA creation.

In MA a lib kinda guy, a pro choice, gay republican ran against John Tierney, Congressman with an ethics problem over money laundering from his families Off Shore Online Illegal Poker Gambing Ill Gotten Gains. Tierney never claimed the ill gotten gains as INCOME. No you don’t know this, SHHHHhhhhh, he’s a democrat. The liberal Machine re elected him, even though the choice was a fiscally responsible gay guy. Republicans can’t co opt gay, they must think he is pretending. They Hate Him Anyway, even though it’s not nice to hate gay people, you can hate gay republicans like you can hate hispanic/black republicans, and it’s the right thing to do.

I am glad the young WHITE voters….why are we looking at their skin color????…knew that they had to vote for Romney to fix the money. My dollars spent on private education and math tutoring for my children were not for nothing. Thanks kids. They emailed after they went to the polls, they are good kids.

Fleuries on November 9, 2012 at 4:37 PM

theblackcommenter on November 9, 2012 at 4:22 PM

I think you’re reading it wrong. If Romney won 16% of blacks, he would President. Romney lost BY 51 and 83 points. That means Obama’s take – Romney’s = 83 among blacks, for example. Which would mean Obama got around 92%. Which jives with the exit polls I saw showing 93%.

That is, actually, way down from 2008, where I saw exits of 98% and 95%. Hopefully, without BHO on the ticket, it will decline even further. Having a guy who doesn’t look like them on the ticket could prove decisive. If that sounds offensive, remember that you’re talking about people that vote near unanimously. What other reason could be be than identity? You can’t get 95% of Americans to agree that bacon is good.

Unfortunately, what’s more likely to prove decisive is the effect of the man’s policies. My generation needs its 1970s.

HitNRun on November 9, 2012 at 4:44 PM

Interesting, well this is at least one bit of good news to come out of this election. Young voters for the past fifteen years have trended towards leaning heavily towards the left and trending towards the right as they grow older. Well, if young white voters now lean more to the right than left NOW, then they’re likely to be considerably far to the right by the time they reach the age where they vote in greater numbers.

That means we at least have the means to replace some of our elderly white voters as they die off. We still need to make marked improvement in our ability to appeal to minorities, but at least its not entirely bad news.

WolvenOne on November 9, 2012 at 4:49 PM

In Addendum.

This would seem to indicate that white voters, regardless of age, will vote on economic and fiscal issues, where as minorities will not, even if they respond that they agree with our overall conclusions.

So the million dollar question is, where is the disconnect, and how do we get around it.

First one to figure this out gets a cookie!

WolvenOne on November 9, 2012 at 4:51 PM

this is interesting. If I’m reading right it means Romney drew 17% of the young black vote and 49% of the young Hispanic vote. That is HUGE. If true, it marks a big potential shift in voting patterns that can be capitalized on and more importantly it means that a significant number of black and hispanic youth are willing to buck the ‘tradition’ of voting for Democrats and even vote against a Black man to do so.

theblackcommenter on November 9, 2012 at 4:22 PM

That’s just the difference between what each candidate received. These are the actual numbers according to the source…

Latino 18-29 year olds: 74% (O) | 23% (R)

Black 18-29 year olds: 91% (O) | 8% (R)

Now that you mention it, Romney actually did perform slightly better with young black voters than he did with black voters of any other age group.

Smoothies on November 9, 2012 at 5:08 PM

What do you guys think of Lame Cherry’s ideas?
http://lamecherry.blogspot.com.au/

…Yes in 2008, we were told all the Republicans “moved” in America and that is why 10 million votes for John McCain disappeared, but in 2012 election theft the “white folks” simply just did not show up, but for some reason Sean Trende just can not figure out the numbers as he wants to blame Christians, but yet the Southern vote was not off, so it is these saltines who are missing and no one knows who they are, where they are or what they are…….they simply just do not vote.

The answer of course is Scytl, Sequoia and SOE, the Big Three S’s in vote fraud which Tiger Lily pointed out first. The programs are simply running now casino software making it a payout for the masses in the minority, while the “house” which is Obama or Rove always win.

It is amusing this RCP propaganda as it quotes numbers of these “minorities” which vote and they do not make up a great part of the vote. You got blackoids at 13 percent, hispanoids at 10 percent and the other oids of Asian at 5 percent with Caucasoids at 72 %.
It is amazing in these numbers that when it came down to missing white folks, that Obama still “wins” the elections as it is only the right wing white people who do not show up to vote in the missing millions…

Not feeling well at this moment and don’t have the energy to parse out the differences between this article and Lame Cherry’s.

avagreen on November 9, 2012 at 6:06 PM

OK. My post just disappeared?? I’ll try again.

Maybe LameCherry is not liked on this site? I’m new to that site so don’t know.

What do you all think of what’s written here…. in comparison to hotair’s article? : lamecherry.blogspot.com.au

Not feeling well enough right now to parse out the differences.

avagreen on November 9, 2012 at 6:09 PM

When they say that republicans sat this out, hold off on deciding why that is, because if the MSM is telling you that, what is there motive?

And if it is people in red states telling you that, the thing is, that in most of the states Romney won, he HAD no less than 55% of the vote, more like 60-70% of the vote. Those who stayed home, in a red state for something not being picky enough to their liking, who don’t care, say about the Supreme Court, or beefing up the win for their state republican senator, a la Mourdock or Akin? should we reward those people who didn’t show up when they had a candidate that they had a duty to make a choice on? They are not patriots, sorry. They can only be whiners, I don’t know if I believe what I am hearing, and wondering from whence it comes.

Conversely, I am POSITIVE Romney’s loss has nothing to do with Hispanics or Amnesty. A MEDIA creation.

In MA a lib kinda guy, a pro choice, gay republican ran against John Tierney, Congressman with an ethics problem over money laundering from his families Off Shore Online Illegal Poker Gambing Ill Gotten Gains. Tierney never claimed the ill gotten gains as INCOME. No you don’t know this, SHHHHhhhhh, he’s a democrat. The liberal Machine re elected him, even though the choice was a fiscally responsible gay guy. Republicans can’t co opt gay, they must think he is pretending. They Hate Him Anyway, even though it’s not nice to hate gay people, you can hate gay republicans like you can hate hispanic/black republicans, and it’s the right thing to do.

I am glad the young WHITE voters….why are we looking at their skin color????…knew that they had to vote for Romney to fix the money. My dollars spent on private education and math tutoring for my children were not for nothing. Thanks kids. They emailed after they went to the polls, they are good kids.

Fleuries on November 9, 2012 at 4:37 PM

I agree…
In San Diego, a openly Gay Republican ran against a corrupt old white guy liberal multi-term congressman for Mayor. The Left came out in droves to vote against the EVIL Gay guy and vote for the old corrupt white liberal career politician.
Also, it seems the white kids regardless of who they liked personally, voted for the guy they thought could actually fix the economy and help them get good jobs. The minority kids voted for the guy that looked like them (and against the evil rich white guy) and would give them free stuff.

It’s as simple as that.

Strike Hornet on November 9, 2012 at 10:49 PM

I’d say the one’s comfortable with wealth determining health care or education are sick.

ernesto on November 9, 2012 at 1:50 PM

Then why do your beloved democrats work every day of every week of every year to drive the cost of both thru the roof?

You are incredibly stupid.

tom daschle concerned on November 9, 2012 at 1:54 PM

…we’ve known that for a couple of years now!

KOOLAID2 on November 10, 2012 at 12:31 PM

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