Green Room

GOP wins EV turnout in CO

posted at 1:48 pm on November 6, 2012 by

That’s the report from the New York Times’ Jack Healy, based on a release this morning from the Secretary of State:

  • GOP: 688,503
  • Dem: 653,450
  • UAF (independents): 547,437

This morning, a false report from Ohio came from Gannett, but this one looks properly sourced.

Recently in the Green Room:

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Comment pages: 1 2 3

FWIW, I’m watching Intrade. CO is getting heavy action back and forth.

GuyInL.A. on November 6, 2012 at 4:16 PM

The numbers there are bound to keep swinging and swinging, as the bettors are desperately trying to recoup whatever money they can.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 4:19 PM

Nate Silver had CO going to Obama 80-20% over Romney..

LOLLERCOPTER!!!

rgrovr on November 6, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Silver also awards virginia and Florida to BO (although Florida is very close in his model)

I think the vets and active military guys will not like the Benghazi saga they see and will keep both for Romney.

KW64 on November 6, 2012 at 4:25 PM

Very interesting, D-34.5/R-36.4/I-28.9; This appears to be a little different than the D+6 and D+11 polls. As it stands now this is a R-+1.

DDay on November 6, 2012 at 4:39 PM

Silver also awards virginia and Florida to BO (although Florida is very close in his model)

I think the vets and active military guys will not like the Benghazi saga they see and will keep both for Romney.

KW64 on November 6, 2012 at 4:25 PM

Early numbers from FL (Pasco County) suggest a significant turnout advantage (including early votes) for Republicans at R+5 over their

http://www.pascovotes.com/turnout.asp

And it’s not a tiny county, it has over 300,000 registered voters.

FL won’t be close.

Norwegian on November 6, 2012 at 4:40 PM

Should say “over their registration advantage”.

In ohter words;

This county has a registration composition of 38% R and 34% D; Rs are currently making up 43% of the total vote (D still at 34%).

Huge turnout advantage for Republicans.

Norwegian on November 6, 2012 at 4:43 PM

Nate Silver had CO going to Obama 80-20% over Romney..

LOLLERCOPTER!!!

rgrovr on November 6, 2012 at 2:06 PM

*STRAPS ON LOLLERSKATES*

tdpwells on November 6, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Very interesting, D-34.5/R-36.4/I-28.9; This appears to be a little different than the D+6 and D+11 polls. As it stands now this is a R-+1.

DDay on November 6, 2012 at 4:39 PM

Republicans always win the Election Day vote here in Colorado; expect that to be turnout figure to be R+2 or higher when all is done.

This is an important point: Colorado is the ONLY state in the union with an even PVI of Zero (Cook Partisan Voting Index).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index

Meaning that the result in CO is likely a identical match of the national popular vote.

Think about that for a second…

Norwegian on November 6, 2012 at 4:56 PM

Norwegian, I’m in Colorado too and I think we are definitely going red this year. Hope you’re right about what it indicates for the country. Thank goodness polls in the east close shortly. I can’t take this much longer.

COgirl on November 6, 2012 at 5:17 PM

This is an important point: Colorado is the ONLY state in the union with an even PVI of Zero (Cook Partisan Voting Index).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index

Meaning that the result in CO is likely a identical match of the national popular vote.

Think about that for a second…

Norwegian on November 6, 2012 at 4:56 PM

Exactly! Even if it’s “only” a 51-48 win CO, we’re talking 51-48 nationwide. And what too few in the media seem to remember these days: Ohio is R+1. 51-48 in CO translates to 52-47 there. Battle lines then drawn in IA, WI, PA, NH and Romney’s number appears to be 281-305.

Gingotts on November 6, 2012 at 5:18 PM

Comment pages: 1 2 3