Green Room

Bill Clinton doing four events on Monday — in Pennsylvania

posted at 9:17 am on November 4, 2012 by

In case this morning’s Tribune-Review poll didn’t convince you, yes, Pennsylvania’s in play:

Update: Jay Cost plots the upset:

In the end, the goal would be to improve upon Bush’s margins in the state minus Philadelphia County. Bush netted 270,000 votes in all; given the increase in population in the non-Philly portion of the state, Obama’s soft support among suburbanites in metro Philly, and the shift of the white working class in the west, a target of 425,000 net votes is not unreasonable. That would assume a 4 percent increase in the vote in the non-Philly portion of the state relative to 2008, and Romney winning those voters by eight points (compared to five for George W. Bush and ten for Pat Toomey).

And then it just comes down to how well Team Obama has Philadelphia County organized. If he can drive turnout there as he did in 2008, netting 470,000 votes, the state will go his way, albeit narrowly. If his turnout machine is lacking a little bit – due to diminished grassroots enthusiasm, lack of preparation by Team Obama, or just the inevitable drift of marginal Republican voters in the county to the GOP banner – Obama will be in trouble. After all, John Kerry broke all the records in Philadelphia County in 2004 by netting about 410,000 votes, then Obama smashed them to reach 480,000 even as the county’s population was stagnant. If Obama “only” has the county as well organized as Kerry did, then in this scenario Romney would win the Keystone State, albeit it narrowly.

Recently in the Green Room:



Trackback URL


Win or lose, the Clintons need to utterly destroyed from the political map.

I hope to gawd they hang Benghazi around Hillary’s neck and end her pipedreams.

budfox on November 4, 2012 at 9:24 AM

“Soldiers, Sailors and Airmen of the Allied Expeditionary Force! You are about to embark upon a great crusade, toward which we have striven these many months. The eyes of the world are upon you. The hopes and prayers of liberty loving people everywhere march with you.”

xuyee on November 4, 2012 at 9:28 AM

Bubba might help with GOTV, but I can’t see him helping in the swing suburban counties.

To the 40+ voters there, he is linked forever with poor Monica Lewinsky.

Wethal on November 4, 2012 at 9:43 AM

Win or lose, the Clintons need to utterly destroyed from the political map.

I hope to gawd they hang Benghazi around Hillary’s neck and end her pipedreams.

budfox on November 4, 2012 at 9:24 AM

I agree. I used to think BJ at least loved his country, but going all in for Zero to protect his incompetent wife has been disgusting to watch. Screw ’em all. They deserve each other, all three of ’em.

Rational Thought on November 4, 2012 at 9:44 AM

Whywait ti;; Monday? Why not today?

Eph on November 4, 2012 at 10:03 AM

I’m not too concerned about Clinton’s ability to help out. He was only able to get about 4000 here in Tallahassee (aka The Berkeley of the South). Not a whole lot of enthusiasm for Dems here. Steve Southerland (our candidate for House) pulled in well over 6000 in a get out the vote event on a Wedsnesday afternoon.

BioTeachEd on November 4, 2012 at 10:10 AM

I’m still just flabbergasted that Willie Jeff carries so much positive cred for lefties…..

Tim Zank on November 4, 2012 at 10:13 AM

Remember, Mitt… Don’t get the cheese steak with Swiss, like some other MA candidates have done in the past.

Most appropriate is Cheez Whiz. American is acceptable, but you must let people know that you are from the suburbs while doing so…

JohnGalt23 on November 4, 2012 at 10:22 AM

Maybe Bubba will pay Obama one of those backwards ‘compliments’ that end up being news fodder for a day or so.

Lightswitch on November 4, 2012 at 10:28 AM

“It;s not fixed” – WJC

VioletTiger on November 4, 2012 at 11:09 AM

budfox on November 4, 2012 at 9:24 AM

On your comment about hill, we watched Fox this morning and someone there said(don’t know if this is true or not) that no one knows where hill is? I’m sure people know, she must be hid out someplace till after the election on her involvement in benghazi?

letget on November 4, 2012 at 11:23 AM

The Clintoons would rather not run against an incumbent. That is the simplest explanation for Blue Dress Boy’s strategy.

Annar on November 4, 2012 at 12:38 PM

Heh… Dear Leader is sending in a proxy.

Why does this matter?

Because bad optics (e.g. – small crowd), or another ‘revenge’ gaff would be bad.

Bet your bottom dollar that Obozo’s final crowd will be ‘large’… even if they have to bus in every union thug for 5 states around to make it so.

And yes… TOTUS will be there to hold Barky’s hand.

CPT. Charles on November 4, 2012 at 1:27 PM

HotAir — Politics, Culture, Media, 2017, Breaking News from a conservative viewpoint
Top Pick

Going for the record

Top Pick

“We will answer them on the field”

Taking it to the limit

Sunday morning talking heads

Jazz Shaw Jun 25, 2017 8:01 AM

Health care and tweeting and Russia, oh my!

Will they stay or will they go?

I can’t imagine what I was thinking when I said that

Rocking the boat majorly

Big government never contracts. It only grows more powerful

It’s only a “ban” until it becomes inconvenient

The decline and fall of Obamacare and the AHCA

Jazz Shaw Jun 24, 2017 8:31 AM

This was all over before it began

Fixing crime in America is a complicated issue

Taylor Millard Jun 23, 2017 8:31 PM

Cops alone won’t solve it.

Victim’s father was President Maduro’s supervisor back when he was a bus driver.

Democrats forgot all about the “era of good feelings”

“Bernie and Jane Sanders have lawyered up.”

“the Judiciary Committee is examining the circumstances surrounding the removal of James Comey.”

Winning isn’t everything. It is the only thing

Trump signs VA reform bill into law

John Sexton Jun 23, 2017 2:41 PM

“What happened was a national disgrace, and yet some of the employees involved in these scandals remained on the payrolls.”

A new era of something.

“…died suddenly in less than a week just after his return to the U.S.”

The shortsightedness of “Denounce and Preserve”

Taylor Millard Jun 23, 2017 12:11 PM

Pragmatism for the sake of pragmatism doesn’t always work.

Perhaps if you threw in a new car?

Gay marriages still growing, but not as fast

Andrew Malcolm Jun 23, 2017 10:31 AM

More, but not as quickly.

Should’ve stuck with the pirate gig. It was working for him

The battle for the rubble of Raqqa is underway

Andrew Malcolm Jun 23, 2017 8:51 AM

Won’t be much left.

Your list of demands is a publicity stunt

“what happened that day was emblematic of a deeply troubling trend among progressives…”

“The jobs are still leaving. Nothing has stopped.”

Bad vendor. Bad! No cookie!

“The Corps is just starting to grapple with the issues the court has identified.”

“So you want me to sing my praises, is that what you’re saying?”

Why would we possibly want that?

“I mean he sold our country to The Russians.”

I could think of someone else you might want to ask about…

“You can ask a hundred people what hate speech is and you get a thousand different answers”

Trump: I never made any recordings of Comey

Allahpundit Jun 22, 2017 2:01 PM


Hackers stole private data from election databases

John Sexton Jun 22, 2017 1:21 PM

“90,000 records stolen by Russian state actors contained drivers license numbers”