Green Room

Rasmussen Iowa: Romney 49, Obama 48

posted at 1:48 pm on November 1, 2012 by

Three fresh polls in the Hawkeye State today.  As Ed noted this morning, NBC/Marist has Obama comfortably leading by six points, driven by strong support from independents and a massive early vote lead.  (The Romney campaign blasted out a response noting how utterly unrealistic the survey’s early voting figures were.  For Obama to hit his supposed advantage, he’d have to win every Democrat ballot and 90 percent of independents).  Meanwhile, the University of Iowa’s Hawkeye poll showed a much closer race, with Mitt Romney in front by a nose.  If Rasmussen’s new numbers represent the rubber match, Romney wins the round:

Iowa remains neck-and-neck in the closing days of Election 2012, with Mitt Romney now showing a one-point lead. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds the Republican challenger with 49% support, while President Obama earns 48% of the vote. Two percent (2%) like someone else in the race, and one percent (1%) is undecided.

Romney holds a seven-point edge on the economy, while Obama has a large lead with early voters — though by a smaller margin.  So three polls, with Romney is slightly ahead in two of them.  Guess which one will garner the most media attention?  Democrats may want to believe that Obama has this state in the bag, but if that’s the case, why is Obama headed there twice in the final four days?

UPDATE – Romney’s brand new ad in the state is a total no-brainer for a closing argument.  Positive, positive, positive:

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Atomic

MobileVideoEngineer on November 1, 2012 at 1:51 PM

Heard from a little birdie that Rasmussen’s Iowa poll will show that newspaper endorsements mean nothing.

Another day, another rotten battleground state poll for poor hapless Mitt.

gumbyandpokey on November 1, 2012 at 11:15 AM

LOL

Norwegian on November 1, 2012 at 1:53 PM

In the four presidential elections prior to 2008, Democratic candidates got 9,060,521 total votes in Ohio, as compared to 8,965,170 for the Republican candidates, according to calculations made by the Cleveland Plain Dealer. In 2008, despite routing John McCain nationally, Obama carried the state by just 262,224 votes out of more than 5.6 million cast.

No one expects Romney to underperform McCain in the state — both because he is far better funded than the Arizona senator was and the incumbent is far less popular than he was in 2008.

From WaPo. Now how is Obama going to win OH again?

Turtle317 on November 1, 2012 at 1:54 PM

In other news, Angle is ahead of Reid in Nevada, 50-46.

buridan on November 1, 2012 at 1:58 PM

Chuck Todd needs to go…..nbc should be ashamed but he’s just one of the guys there

Pathetic

cmsinaz on November 1, 2012 at 1:59 PM

I don’t know…gumby reassured us that Rasmussen would show bad news for Romney in Iowa, and he’s the realist here. I think Ras must have been hacked or something.

T-Rav on November 1, 2012 at 2:00 PM

From WaPo. Now how is Obama going to win OH again?

Turtle317 on November 1, 2012 at 1:54 PM

Combine that with the fact that most of Cuyahoga County is w/o power (will remain so through the weekend) and early voting for Dems is down across the board, some places by as much as 50-75%.

Don’t really think OH will be close in the end. Romney will carry it comfortably.

Norwegian on November 1, 2012 at 2:09 PM

Combine that with the fact that most of Cuyahoga County is w/o power (will remain so through the weekend) and early voting for Dems is down across the board, some places by as much as 50-75%.

Don’t really think OH will be close in the end. Romney will carry it comfortably.

Norwegian on November 1, 2012 at 2:09 PM

I really hope all the power across Ohio and elsewhere is restored ASAP, it’s miserable to be without it and the left is going to start the “unfair” cry to beat all unfair cry’s when Obama loses Ohio.

BettyRuth on November 1, 2012 at 2:52 PM

Romney will win Iowa.

Bmore on November 1, 2012 at 3:55 PM

I sent in my early voting ballot.

I also gave a thumbs down to Judge Wiggins. He’s a leftist activist judge.

Now that I’ve completed that, it’s pretty likely Romney wins Iowa.

My vote is like a big endorsement….or I like to think so. :-)

KirknBurker on November 1, 2012 at 4:42 PM

This one’s going to court, boys! Bring out the champagne!

DeathtotheSwiss on November 1, 2012 at 6:17 PM