Green Room

Rasmussen Iowa: Romney 49, Obama 48

posted at 1:48 pm on November 1, 2012 by

Three fresh polls in the Hawkeye State today.  As Ed noted this morning, NBC/Marist has Obama comfortably leading by six points, driven by strong support from independents and a massive early vote lead.  (The Romney campaign blasted out a response noting how utterly unrealistic the survey’s early voting figures were.  For Obama to hit his supposed advantage, he’d have to win every Democrat ballot and 90 percent of independents).  Meanwhile, the University of Iowa’s Hawkeye poll showed a much closer race, with Mitt Romney in front by a nose.  If Rasmussen’s new numbers represent the rubber match, Romney wins the round:

Iowa remains neck-and-neck in the closing days of Election 2012, with Mitt Romney now showing a one-point lead. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds the Republican challenger with 49% support, while President Obama earns 48% of the vote. Two percent (2%) like someone else in the race, and one percent (1%) is undecided.

Romney holds a seven-point edge on the economy, while Obama has a large lead with early voters — though by a smaller margin.  So three polls, with Romney is slightly ahead in two of them.  Guess which one will garner the most media attention?  Democrats may want to believe that Obama has this state in the bag, but if that’s the case, why is Obama headed there twice in the final four days?

UPDATE – Romney’s brand new ad in the state is a total no-brainer for a closing argument.  Positive, positive, positive:

Recently in the Green Room:

Blowback

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Atomic

MobileVideoEngineer on November 1, 2012 at 1:51 PM

Heard from a little birdie that Rasmussen’s Iowa poll will show that newspaper endorsements mean nothing.

Another day, another rotten battleground state poll for poor hapless Mitt.

gumbyandpokey on November 1, 2012 at 11:15 AM

LOL

Norwegian on November 1, 2012 at 1:53 PM

In the four presidential elections prior to 2008, Democratic candidates got 9,060,521 total votes in Ohio, as compared to 8,965,170 for the Republican candidates, according to calculations made by the Cleveland Plain Dealer. In 2008, despite routing John McCain nationally, Obama carried the state by just 262,224 votes out of more than 5.6 million cast.

No one expects Romney to underperform McCain in the state — both because he is far better funded than the Arizona senator was and the incumbent is far less popular than he was in 2008.

From WaPo. Now how is Obama going to win OH again?

Turtle317 on November 1, 2012 at 1:54 PM

In other news, Angle is ahead of Reid in Nevada, 50-46.

buridan on November 1, 2012 at 1:58 PM

Chuck Todd needs to go…..nbc should be ashamed but he’s just one of the guys there

Pathetic

cmsinaz on November 1, 2012 at 1:59 PM

I don’t know…gumby reassured us that Rasmussen would show bad news for Romney in Iowa, and he’s the realist here. I think Ras must have been hacked or something.

T-Rav on November 1, 2012 at 2:00 PM

From WaPo. Now how is Obama going to win OH again?

Turtle317 on November 1, 2012 at 1:54 PM

Combine that with the fact that most of Cuyahoga County is w/o power (will remain so through the weekend) and early voting for Dems is down across the board, some places by as much as 50-75%.

Don’t really think OH will be close in the end. Romney will carry it comfortably.

Norwegian on November 1, 2012 at 2:09 PM

Combine that with the fact that most of Cuyahoga County is w/o power (will remain so through the weekend) and early voting for Dems is down across the board, some places by as much as 50-75%.

Don’t really think OH will be close in the end. Romney will carry it comfortably.

Norwegian on November 1, 2012 at 2:09 PM

I really hope all the power across Ohio and elsewhere is restored ASAP, it’s miserable to be without it and the left is going to start the “unfair” cry to beat all unfair cry’s when Obama loses Ohio.

BettyRuth on November 1, 2012 at 2:52 PM

Romney will win Iowa.

Bmore on November 1, 2012 at 3:55 PM

I sent in my early voting ballot.

I also gave a thumbs down to Judge Wiggins. He’s a leftist activist judge.

Now that I’ve completed that, it’s pretty likely Romney wins Iowa.

My vote is like a big endorsement….or I like to think so. 🙂

KirknBurker on November 1, 2012 at 4:42 PM

This one’s going to court, boys! Bring out the champagne!

DeathtotheSwiss on November 1, 2012 at 6:17 PM


HotAir — Politics, Culture, Media, 2017, Breaking News from a conservative viewpoint
Top Pick

Should’ve stuck with the pirate gig. It was working for him

The battle for the rubble of Raqqa is underway

Andrew Malcolm Jun 23, 2017 8:51 AM
Top Pick

Won’t be much left.

Your list of demands it a publicity stunt

“what happened that day was emblematic of a deeply troubling trend among progressives…”

“The jobs are still leaving. Nothing has stopped.”

Bad vendor. Bad! No cookie!

“The Corps is just starting to grapple with the issues the court has identified.”

“So you want me to sing my praises, is that what you’re saying?”

Why would we possibly want that?

“I mean he sold our country to The Russians.”

I could think of someone else you might want to ask about…

“You can ask a hundred people what hate speech is and you get a thousand different answers”

Trump: I never made any recordings of Comey

Allahpundit Jun 22, 2017 2:01 PM

Bluff.

Hackers stole private data from election databases

John Sexton Jun 22, 2017 1:21 PM

“90,000 records stolen by Russian state actors contained drivers license numbers”

Failure to protect the city

Big man on the Middle Eastern campus

Biased Americans see media as biased.

Tough times down on the liberal ranch

Will Nancy Pelosi survive this latest Dem disaster?

Andrew Malcolm Jun 22, 2017 8:41 AM

Eat quick, before it’s gone.

Slow your roll, boss

“I’m bothered by the lack of emerging evidence…”

FIrst look at the Senate health bill

John Sexton Jun 21, 2017 9:21 PM

“the Senate bill would go farther than the House version in its approach to cutting Medicaid spending.”

Divide and conquer?

“If we do nothing, more companies will back out and more people will lose coverage.”

You know, I may have cracked the case for you, guys

“They’re still running against her and still winning races.”

“…the suspect is from Quebec and has a Canadian passport.”

When the Left lost their way on immigration

Jazz Shaw Jun 21, 2017 2:41 PM

It wasn’t all that long ago, really

“I personally watched some of these students go up to Chief Brown, right up to her face, and call her all kinds of names, cursing at her.”

Did the Queen “nix” a Trump visit to London?

Jazz Shaw Jun 21, 2017 12:41 PM

More like wishful thinking on the American left

Sometimes it’s hard. This was the hardest part