Green Room

Polls: Romney Leads 50/47 in Colorado, Tied in Wisconsin

posted at 11:27 pm on October 31, 2012 by

Buried in today’s daily tracker report from Rasmussen (which showed Mitt Romney leading Barack Obama 49/47 nationwide) were two nuggets from state polls conducted earlier in the week.  In Monday night polling, Romney held a 50/47 lead in Colorado, while Wisconsin remained tied at 49 — the exact same outcome Rasmussen found late last week.  Another interesting note about the polling firm’s operations:

NOTE: Rasmussen Reports is based in Asbury Park, New Jersey and we were hit hard by Hurricane Sandy. However, our survey interview calls are placed from a different location, so data gathering was able to continue.

Gallup says it will resume placing calls tomorrow.

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Colorado is going Romney…

In my prediction model regarding Colorado if 10% of Obama “White Voters” from 2008 vote for Romney in 2012 combined with 3% of Obama total voters from 2008 staying home in 2012 then Romney is going to win Colorado.

Regarding Wisconsin if 14% of Obama “White Voters” from 2008 vote for Romney in 2012 combined with 3% of Obama total voters from 2008 staying home in 2012 then Romney is going to win Wisconsin…

mnjg on October 31, 2012 at 11:38 PM

didn’t hear about any of these polls.

Raquel Pinkbullet on October 31, 2012 at 11:52 PM

“Regarding Wisconsin if 14% of Obama “White Voters” from 2008 vote for Romney in 2012 combined with 3% of Obama total voters from 2008 staying home in 2012 then Romney is going to win Wisconsin…

mnjg on October 31, 2012 at 11:38 PM”

No way do 14% of Obama’s “White Voters” from 2008 switch to Romney. That is way too big a hill to climb.

gumbyandpokey on October 31, 2012 at 11:53 PM

And the most important WI poll, the MU Law poll, is ignored?

The most accurate state poll in the recall was that MU Law poll.

gumbyandpokey on October 31, 2012 at 11:54 PM

And the most important WI poll, the MU Law poll, is ignored?

gumbyandpokey

Most important according to who?

xblade on November 1, 2012 at 12:26 AM

“And the most important WI poll, the MU Law poll, is ignored?

gumbyandpokey

Most important according to who?

xblade on November 1, 2012 at 12:26 AM”

The most important for anyone who cares about an accurate pollster.

gumbyandpokey on November 1, 2012 at 12:48 AM

Buh-Bye Barky…

Strike Hornet on November 1, 2012 at 1:30 AM

Most accurate pollster? All of a sudden MU poll is the most accurate. Go away moron!

anchorman on November 1, 2012 at 2:42 AM

If Obama loses this election, I think we should come up with a new axiom, “You can’t alienate over half the country and expect to get re-elected.” Just a thought.

bflat879 on November 1, 2012 at 3:18 AM

And the most important WI poll, the MU Law poll, is ignored?

The most accurate state poll in the recall was that MU Law poll.

gumbyandpokey on October 31, 2012 at 11:54 PM

You mean the poll that says that (a) the turnout model will be nidistinguishable from 2008 and (b) everybody that didn’t show up in June but will in November is either a ‘Rat or a card-carrying Communist? Not. Going. To. Happen.

Steve Eggleston on November 1, 2012 at 7:59 AM

I got polled last night for the MI prop 2 which is a union driven ballot measure to put collective bargaining on the state constitution. I had to laugh at the poll questions which were heavily biased and slanted in favor of the unions. The polling allowed no distinction between the public employees right to bargain as opposed to private business employees. The guy paid to make the call clearly was unfamiliar with the fact that private business employees have rights protected by federal law. The questions were slanted like if you did not support this proposition, that you were in favor of stripping all rights from all workers.

karenhasfreedom on November 1, 2012 at 10:07 AM


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