Axelrod: We may not need to win swing-state independents
posted at 11:45 am on October 31, 2012 by Ed Morrissey
This sounds a lot like wishcasting to me, and frankly, I’m surprised David Axelrod let this slip:
Axelrod on independents in swing states: “We may not win these voters but we may not have to win these voters.”
— daveweigel (@daveweigel) October 31, 2012
He may not have had much choice, though, not with polls showing strong Romney leads with independents even in the tilted polls of the CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac series. It’s almost certainly not true, however. It would be true if Democratic enthusiasm was way up and GOP enthusiasm way down, but even those polls showed exactly the opposite. Axelrod went on to argue that independent metrics depend on how voters identify themselves, implying that these independents are actually proto-Republicans, but I’d guess that was a lot more true in 2008 than now, especially with Gallup showing parity in partisan identification.
It sounds as if Team O is acknowledging that they’ve lost independents. That’s a pretty big deal in this election.
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